Inflation

CPIAUCSL · year on yearLatest 3.68% (Sep 2026)

As of Nov 3, 2026, Callsight counts 70 calls about inflation that tracked channels made themselves, checked against the consumer price index (CPI) on FRED. At one year: 30 correct, 13 incorrect, 3 within band, 1 still open. The other 23 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why.

Own predictions

70

27 up · 25 down

Correct / incorrect after 1 year

30 Correct 13 Incorrect

plus 0 partly correct and 3 within band. Every call counted, repeats included.

Still open

1

Windows not yet closed

Inflation and the predictions about it

CPIAUCSL · year on yearRecession (NBER)Called upCalled down
0%2%4%6%8%10%202120222023202420252026
0%2%4%6%8%10%2021202320252026
−2%0%2%4%6%8%10%201620182020202220242026
−5%0%5%10%2016202020232026
−5%0%5%10%200820112015201920222026
−5%0%5%10%2008201420202026

Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. Grey bands are recessions.

The series on FRED: CPIAUCSL

Latest predictions about Inflation

109 predictions in all, newest first: 70 own, 39 relaying someone else's forecast (not scored).

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
Watch at 15:23BREAKING: The FED Cancels ALL Rate Cuts - Market Selloff Has Begun!
Predictiona call with no clear direction
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
Watch at 15:32BREAKING: The FED Cancels ALL Rate Cuts - Market Selloff Has Begun!
PredictionInflationwill rise to 3.6%
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“First, taxes are going up.”
Watch at 15:20How The US Is Quietly Erasing The $39 Trillion National Debt
Predictiona call under review
What happened
Not scored

How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”
Watch at 15:15It Started: The US Debt Bomb Just Imploded
Predictiona call with no clear direction
What happened
Not scored

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the Federal Reserve's   recent summary of economic projections insists  that inflation will magically settle at just   2.7% over the exact same time frame.”
Watch at 2:18IMF Announces Real-World Fiat Reset (What Happens Now?)
PredictionInflationwill fall to 2.7%
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Federal Reserve — not scored

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“or OECD recently published an interim  report projecting American headline inflation to   reach 4.2% by the end of 2026.”
Watch at 1:51IMF Announces Real-World Fiat Reset (What Happens Now?)
PredictionInflationwill rise to 4.2%
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to OECD — not scored

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“Economist Luke Gromen thinks that we could see inflation that makes 2021 look mild, double digits, maybe worse.”
Watch at 9:40They're Using This War To 'Replace The Dollar'
PredictionInflationwill rise to 10%
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Luke Gromen — not scored

Earlier calls

Coin BureauInflationwill rise

“we're looking at an   unavoidable surge in food and grocery prices that  will fully materialize by the summer of 2026.”

Mar 30, 2026 · after 180 days

Within band so far · 180 days

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Inflation — around 0.8%

“They note that ETH's inflation rate will likely climb higher than the current 0.8% and that Ethereum will continue to lose mindshare to competing chains like Solana and could even be cannibalized by its own layer-two ecosystem.”

Mar 10, 2026

Relayed

Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Inflation will rise

“inflation is going to be much more uh pernicious uh over the next few years than it was uh when Biden was president.”

Feb 2, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Inflation — around 2%

“On top of that, they're predicting that inflation will remain above 2% throughout 2028, suggesting that their plan is overall to cut aggressively in 2025 and then take it a bit slower throughout the next year, depending on the data.”

Sep 17, 2025

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the data sets  that are most likely to end up on chain next are   the big hitters, so to speak. This means that  key releases that are closely watched by market   analysts everywhere, such as inflation and the  consumer price index or CPI, they could be next   in line.”

Sep 7, 2025

Not scored

Coin Bureau, relaying OECD: Inflation will fall to 2%

“According to the latest OECD data, G20 inflation   is still running at 3.8% and won't drop to central  bank targets until at least 2026.”

Sep 3, 2025

Relayed

Graham StephanInflation— around 2%

“inflation slowly reduces the purchasing power of every dollar by 2 to 5% a year as the government prints more money into the economy.”

Sep 2, 2025 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Inflation will rise to 4%

“Napia goes further,   though, arguing that this time governments may  not just allow inflation to drift higher. They   could quietly target and sustain much higher  rates as well, perhaps in the 4 to 6% range.”

Jul 18, 2025

Relayed

Coin BureauInflationwill rise

“And the second is  that it will cause services related inflation to   rise, namely housing.”

Jul 17, 2025 · after 1 year

Correct

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Inflation will rise

“he warned that tariffs could nudge prices higher  in the second half of 2025.”

Jul 12, 2025

Relayed

Graham StephanInflationwill rise

“All of this is likely to result in higher inflation and it might continue for quite some time.”

Jun 23, 2025 · after 1 year

Correct

Coin BureauInflationwill rise

“what comes next could be a rise in inflation as businesses come back on Shore and the costs of goods and wages start to rise”

Feb 4, 2025 · after 1 year

Within band

Joseph CarlsonInflationwill rise

“this does impact the economy in a negative way it raises prices across the board and it could reignite inflation to some degree none of that is good for the US for customers for investors”

Oct 3, 2024 · after 1 year

Correct

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Inflation will fall to 2%

“and for inflation to continue falling until it hits its 2% Target”

Sep 25, 2024

Relayed

Coin BureauInflationwill rise

“in the longer term the fed's rate Cuts risk reigniting inflation which in turn risks sending interest rates higher”

Sep 25, 2024 · after 1 year

Correct

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I don't think it's going to go back up like it was during 2020 and I think there's more reason to be bullish on this market”

Sep 19, 2024

Not scored

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Inflation will rise

“the authors note that these debts have put limits on fiscal and monetary policy tools the bis also sees inflation as a risk specifically inflation coming from a rising cost of goods caused by supply chain issues and inflation coming from a rising cost of Labor due to a shortage of Labor”

Aug 4, 2024

Relayed

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Inflation — no direction stated

“the economists surveyed by the we predict that inflation will stay sticky not because of nationalism but because of housing”

Jun 30, 2024

Relayed

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“prices in general across the economy very rarely ever come down once they've been reset higher”

May 31, 2024

Not scored

Coin BureauInflationwill rise

“given that energy is needed for everything that means that the price of everything is likely to continue Rising too”

May 26, 2024 · after 1 year

Incorrect

Coin Bureaua call under review

“this decline in money supply is likely to be temporary because if it Contin all the powerful people will default on their trillions of dollars of debts it's safe to say that they will never allow this to happen which means that the”

May 1, 2024

Not scored

Coin BureauInflationwill rise

“if you watched our video about the man who predicted everything you'll know we could very well be entering a world of higher inflation and higher interest rates again”

Nov 11, 2023 · after 1 year

Within band

Showing the newest 30 of 109.

See all 109 predictions

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Questions people ask

What have finance YouTubers predicted about inflation?

As of Nov 3, 2026, Callsight counts 70 calls about inflation that tracked channels made themselves, checked against the consumer price index (CPI) on FRED. At one year: 30 correct, 13 incorrect, 3 within band, 1 still open. The other 23 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why.

How is a call about inflation checked?

Against the consumer price index (CPI) on FRED, using each value as it was first published rather than later revisions, at 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, by fixed rules that are the same for every channel.

Is this investment advice?

No. This is a record of what people said in public and what happened next. Nothing here tells you to buy or sell anything.

Every count on this page includes repeats: a call made again in a later video counts again, so the counts can differ from a channel's record, which counts each distinct call once.