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Coin Bureau: Inflation will rise

Said on May 26, 2024, at 9:43 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“given that energy is needed for everything that means that the price of everything is likely to continue Rising too”
Watch at 9:43The Real Reason You’re Broke in 2025
PredictionInflationwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Reading when said

3.27%

May 26, 2024

Reading at close

2.35%

May 26, 2025

Change

−0.93 pp

Inflation stood at 3.27% at the start of the window and 2.35% at May 26, 2025, a change of −0.93 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

30 days

Within band

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

InflationWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%2%4%6%8%10%202120222023202320242025Said on May 26, 2024
0%2%4%6%8%10%2021202220242025Said on May 26, 2024

Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Within band3.27%3.03%Jun 25, 2024−0.24 pp—
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Incorrect3.27%2.56%Aug 24, 2024−0.71 pp—
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Incorrect3.27%2.77%Nov 22, 2024−0.51 pp—
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Incorrect3.27%2.35%May 26, 2025−0.93 pp—
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——May 26, 2027——
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——May 25, 2029——
Why: 30 days

Inflation stood at 3.27% at the start of the window and 3.03% at Jun 25, 2024, a change of −0.24 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 90 days

Inflation stood at 3.27% at the start of the window and 2.56% at Aug 24, 2024, a change of −0.71 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 180 days

Inflation stood at 3.27% at the start of the window and 2.77% at Nov 22, 2024, a change of −0.51 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 1 year

Inflation stood at 3.27% at the start of the window and 2.35% at May 26, 2025, a change of −0.93 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes May 26, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes May 25, 2029.

What was said around it

environmental groups committed to killing oil for governments this pivot is because they're starting to realize that their economies require oil and gas in order to function for asset managers and mega Banks they're starting to realize that oil and gas companies will likely be some of the most profitable Investments over the next decade and Energy prices continue to rise and make no mistake there is a high likelihood that energy prices will keep Rising over5 trillion of new Supply investment is needed just to catch up to current demand given that energy is needed for everything that means that the price of everything is likely to continue Rising too but this is just the supply side of the equation whereas energy is the primary input in the supply of everything money is the primary input in the demand for everything as I mentioned earlier most governments didn't stop printing money after the pandemic it's just the central banks that stopped the politicians have continued printing a lot now while most of this money printing is going towards building useful infrastructure that should bring down costs in the long term in the short term it's causing persistent inflation that's simply because

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: a call with no clear direction

“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”

Jun 17, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Inflation will rise to 3.6%

“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”

Jun 17, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephana call under review

“First, taxes are going up.”

Jun 1, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”

May 18, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Goldman Sachs: Inflation — around 1%

“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”

Apr 20, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureau, relaying Federal Reserve: Inflation will fall to 2.7%

“the Federal Reserve's   recent summary of economic projections insists  that inflation will magically settle at just   2.7% over the exact same time frame.”

Apr 9, 2026

Relayed