Coin Bureau: Inflation will rise

The window it was checked over

Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

What was said around it

markets as I hinted in the introduction the answer here is twofold and it depends on the time frame in the short term rate cuts are likely to boost the markets particularly small cap stocks as they the most sensitive to interest rates the same is true for cryptocurrencies particularly altcoins which seem to be highly correlated to small cap stocks this is why crypto has been rallying hard with altcoins leading the way and why it will continue so long as the FED keeps cutting rates but again this bullish scenario only applies to the short term in the longer term the fed's rate Cuts risk reigniting inflation which in turn risks sending interest rates higher it's believed this is the reason why long-term interest rates started Rising after the FED cut short-term rates but as we've learned there's another Factor at play here the fed's steady balance sheet runoff from our perspective it's possible that the biggest contributor to long-term interest rates Rising was the fed's decision to continue selling assets from its balance sheet to put things into perspective the FED holds around $5 trillion in US Government debt and around half of it falls into the long-term bucket by continuing to sell these

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