Andrei Jikh: Inflation — around 4.9%

Said on Jun 12, 2023, at 6:32 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“on Tuesday this week we're going to get the latest inflation data which will probably be lower than our last reading of 4.9 percent”
Watch at 6:32The Stock Market Is About To Flip
PredictionInflation— around 4.9%by Jun 19, 2023
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

InflationWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%2%4%6%8%10%202020212021202220232023Said on Jun 12, 2023
0%5%10%2020202120222023Said on Jun 12, 2023

Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Stated deadlineR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

Why: Stated deadline

Not verifiable: target already reached. Inflation stood at 2.9% year on year in Jun 2023 (CPIAUCSL, first releases), already at or below the target recorded for this call, 4.9%.

What was said around it

to do with straights specifically the federal funds rate which is the cost for banks to borrow money from each other when they raise the rate it's more expensive to borrow money and therefore hopefully it means it lowers our spending and that's how they fight inflation that's why interest rates have gone from 0 15 months ago to now five percent and it looks like it's working because inflation is coming down in What's called the CPI the Consumer Price Index which is how they measure inflation and we can see it in the data here and on Tuesday this week we're going to get the latest inflation data which will probably be lower than our last reading of 4.9 percent that's when Twitter will start to fight again and that's because they're usually confused about what inflation's actually measuring and all it's doing is it's measuring the rate of price growth and right now prices are still growing and they're growing fast but they're slowing down that's all it's measuring now the question is if prices are still growing four percent still not where it needs to be two to three percent why is the Fed wanting to pause the rates it wants to pause the rates because there's a problem with inflation the

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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