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Coin Bureau: Inflation will rise

Said on Jul 17, 2025, at 17:45 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“And the second is  that it will cause services related inflation to   rise, namely housing.”
Watch at 17:45BlackRock Wants YOUR Savings! Here's How They'll Take It
PredictionInflationwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Reading when said

2.74%

Jul 17, 2025

Reading at close

3.32%

Jul 17, 2026

Change

+0.57 pp

Inflation stood at 2.74% at the start of the window and 3.32% at Jul 17, 2026, a change of +0.57 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

30 days

Within band

90 days

Within band

180 days

Within band

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

InflationWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%2%4%6%8%10%202220232024202520252026Said on Jul 17, 2025
0%2%4%6%8%10%2022202320252026Said on Jul 17, 2025

Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Within band2.74%2.94%Aug 16, 2025+0.20 pp—
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Within band2.74%3.08%Oct 15, 2025+0.33 pp—
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Within band2.74%2.35%Jan 13, 2026−0.39 pp—
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Correct2.74%3.32%Jul 17, 2026+0.57 pp—
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——Jul 16, 2028——
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——Jul 16, 2030——
Why: 30 days

Inflation stood at 2.74% at the start of the window and 2.94% at Aug 16, 2025, a change of +0.20 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 90 days

Inflation stood at 2.74% at the start of the window and 3.08% at Oct 15, 2025, a change of +0.33 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 180 days

Inflation stood at 2.74% at the start of the window and 2.35% at Jan 13, 2026, a change of −0.39 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 1 year

Inflation stood at 2.74% at the start of the window and 3.32% at Jul 17, 2026, a change of +0.57 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 16, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 16, 2030.

What was said around it

implement Black Rockck's   plan. And this is precisely why we're starting to  see countries like the UK make tweaks around the   margins that either incentivize people to save  less or invest more. And it's also why we're   starting to see countries like Italy introduce  expanded work and immigration programs to bring in   hundreds of thousands of laborers from lowincome  countries in the coming years. And this will also   have two paradoxical effects. The first is that it  will suppress wages in the industries where wages   should be rising the fastest. And the second is  that it will cause services related inflation to   rise, namely housing. If you stop and think, you  realize that globalization 2.0 is truly the same   as globalization 1.0 with workers getting the  short end of the stick except this time they're   getting a front row seat, so to speak. There  is a silver lining though and that's that the   corporations on the receiving end of these capital  and labor flows will be extremely profitable. Not   only will they receive large sums of money  from the savers being incentivized to invest   in them directly via Black Rockck, but they will  also receive huge subsidies and incentives

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: a call with no clear direction

“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”

Jun 17, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Inflation will rise to 3.6%

“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”

Jun 17, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephana call under review

“First, taxes are going up.”

Jun 1, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”

May 18, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Goldman Sachs: Inflation — around 1%

“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”

Apr 20, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureau, relaying Federal Reserve: Inflation will fall to 2.7%

“the Federal Reserve's   recent summary of economic projections insists  that inflation will magically settle at just   2.7% over the exact same time frame.”

Apr 9, 2026

Relayed