“and for inflation to continue falling until it hits its 2% Target”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Inflation will fall to 2%
Said on Sep 25, 2024, at 7:17 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
familiar we'll come back to that later though now Jerome went on to give an overview of all the key data points around the economy and inflation as well as where the FED sees them all heading this information is provided in the fed's summary of economic projections or sep a document that it updates at every other fed meeting if you've looked at the most recent SCP you'll know that there's not much to write home about there the FED expects GDP to stay steady at around 2% in the coming years it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target and for inflation to continue falling until it hits its 2% Target the only prediction worth expanding on is the fed's projection for its future interest r rates most fed officials see interest rates falling down to around 3% in the coming years and staying at those levels in the long term this is significant as it suggests that we are now in a higher interest rate environment in case you missed it interest rates had been practically at zero since 2008 now after his review of the SCP Jerome underscored the fact that the FED is focused on the unemployment side of its dual mandate however he simultaneously stressed that the FED
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Inflation
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: a call with no clear direction
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
Jun 17, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Inflation will rise to 3.6%
“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
Jun 17, 2026
Graham Stephana call under review
“First, taxes are going up.”
Jun 1, 2026
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”
May 18, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying Goldman Sachs: Inflation — around 1%
“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”
Apr 20, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying Federal Reserve: Inflation will fall to 2.7%
“the Federal Reserve's recent summary of economic projections insists that inflation will magically settle at just 2.7% over the exact same time frame.”
Apr 9, 2026