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Coin Bureau: Inflation will rise

Said on Mar 30, 2026, at 10:22 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“we're looking at an   unavoidable surge in food and grocery prices that  will fully materialize by the summer of 2026.”
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PredictionInflationwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 180 days
Within band so far · 180 days

Reading when said

3.34%

Mar 30, 2026

Reading at close

3.68%

Sep 26, 2026

Change

+0.34 pp

Inflation stood at 3.34% at the start of the window and 3.68% at Sep 26, 2026, a change of +0.34 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

30 days

Within band

90 days

Within band

180 days

Within band

1 year

Pending

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

InflationWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
2%3%4%5%6%202320242024202520262027Said on Mar 30, 2026
2%3%4%5%6%2023202420252027Said on Mar 30, 2026

Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Within band3.34%3.77%Apr 29, 2026+0.43 pp—
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Within band3.34%3.44%Jun 28, 2026+0.10 pp—
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Within band3.34%3.68%Sep 26, 2026+0.34 pp—
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——Mar 30, 2027——
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——Mar 29, 2029——
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Pending——Mar 29, 2031——
Why: 30 days

Inflation stood at 3.34% at the start of the window and 3.77% at Apr 29, 2026, a change of +0.43 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 90 days

Inflation stood at 3.34% at the start of the window and 3.44% at Jun 28, 2026, a change of +0.10 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 180 days

Inflation stood at 3.34% at the start of the window and 3.68% at Sep 26, 2026, a change of +0.34 pp (CPIAUCSL, first releases). The call was that it would rise. Moves smaller than 0.5 pp are treated as no change.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 30, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 29, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 29, 2031.

What was said around it

their fuel search charges  to between 25 and 28%. Even the United States   Postal Service has filed for its first ever  competitive product fuel search charge of 8%   explicitly warning that the agency could run out  of cash by 2027 without it. Furthermore, 30% of   the global ammoniabased nitrogen fertilizer supply  is currently suspended due to the blockade. Now,   every 10 cent rise in the price of diesel adds  approximately 0.1% to the consumer price index.   With a $180 spike in fuel costs and a massive  fertilizer shortage, too, we're looking at an   unavoidable surge in food and grocery prices that  will fully materialize by the summer of 2026. And   this is where the traditional banking cartel  finds itself in a dilemma. The Federal Reserve   has officially held its benchmark interest rate  at an effective 3.64% and its options from here   are limited. If the Fed raises interest rates to  fight this new wave of inflation, it will crush an   already fragile economy and trigger a severe  recession. If it cuts interest rates though   to stimulate growth, it risks entrenching this  oil shock inflation permanently and completely   deanchoring consumer expectations. Meanwhile,  over

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See all

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: a call with no clear direction

“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”

Jun 17, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Inflation will rise to 3.6%

“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”

Jun 17, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephana call under review

“First, taxes are going up.”

Jun 1, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”

May 18, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Goldman Sachs: Inflation — around 1%

“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”

Apr 20, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureau, relaying Federal Reserve: Inflation will fall to 2.7%

“the Federal Reserve's   recent summary of economic projections insists  that inflation will magically settle at just   2.7% over the exact same time frame.”

Apr 9, 2026

Relayed