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Latest predictions
Every prediction as it is recorded, newest first, with its result once it has one.
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Graham StephanSPYwill outperform
“Instead, just invest the difference in the S&P 500. And over the long term, over the next 20 years, you're going to have so much more money than what you would have put in the property.”
Sep 9, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanMarket correctionwill happen
“short-term, I would not be surprised if we see a 5 to 12% market drawdown just because of market uncertainty.”
Sep 3, 2026 · after 30 days
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“in my opinion, the big move to really watch out for is whether or not the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds or hits 5%.”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying Fidelity: SPY will rise
“Fidelity thinks that this is just the very beginning and the markets will continue going higher because of AI.”
Aug 25, 2026
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“rising interest rates at the same time that the labor market is cooling usually results in hiring freezes.”
Aug 10, 2026
Graham StephanMortgage rateswill rise
“your payments are probably going higher.”
Aug 10, 2026 · after 30 days
Graham Stephana call under review
“starting now, mortgage rates have already begun going higher.”
Aug 10, 2026
Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise
“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”
Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: MSTR — a company event
“Betas on Poly Market currently price around a 37% chance of MSTR leaving the MSEI index by year end.”
Aug 10, 2026
Andrei JikhSPYwill fall
“However, before the United States returns to the big print, the markets can continue going down.”
Aug 5, 2026 · after 90 days
Graham Stephana call under review
“I tend to believe we're probably going to see some short-term panic selling, a lot of volatility, and then it's just going to slowly grind back to normal,”
Aug 3, 2026
Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen
“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”
Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days
Graham Stephana call under review
“I tend to believe we're probably going to see some short-term panic selling, a lot of volatility, and then it's just going to slowly grind back to normal,”
Aug 3, 2026
Coin BureauETHwill rise
“While none of us here have a crystal ball, the likely answer is that ETH finishes the year significantly higher than the sub $2,000 price we're seeing right now.”
Jul 30, 2026 · after 90 days
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: ETH will rise to $2,240
“Conversely, City puts ETH at just $2,240 by the end of the year, citing US crypto legislation being slower than expected and zero expected ETF inflows.”
Jul 30, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying Standard Chartered: ETH will rise to $4,000
“Standard Chartered thinks that ETH can hit $4,000 by year end, driven by Ethereum's dominance in stable coins and tokenized real world assets.”
Jul 30, 2026
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”
Jul 28, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“That is partially why interest rates are expected to go up here in the US.”
Jul 28, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction
“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”
Jul 27, 2026