“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”Graham Stephan, relaying another source: a call with no clear direction
Said on Jun 17, 2026, at 15:23 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Consumer price index (CPI): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
to see any rate cuts anytime soon. In fact, they've just indicated a potential rate hike sometime this year, and that interest rates are expected to remain much more elevated than all of us were expecting. On top of that, today's the day where we get what's called the summary of economic projections, which basically forecasts where the entire Federal Reserve thinks our economy is heading over the next few years. And in terms of what they just said, like I mentioned earlier, they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again. And funny enough, one of the ways that we can tell where the market's heading in the future is based on what's called the dot plot where every voting member gives the public full transparency as to what they think is best for the economy. But wouldn't you know it, Kevin Warsh wants to get rid of the dot plot entirely under the impression that the Fed should signal less and do more. Effectively meaning that we would all get zero guidance as to what's going to happen next. It
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
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