Compare
Both records at the same windows, each against its own base rate; then every instrument both channels have called.
As of Nov 6, 2026, Callsight has checked both channels' calls at one year. Andrei Jikh: 57.1% of the 49 calls that have a comparable base rate were correct, against a base rate of 41.7%. Graham Stephan: 57.1% of the 84 calls that have a comparable base rate were correct, against a base rate of 47.2%. Every call links to the second it was said.
Correct calls over correct plus incorrect, on the speaker's own calls, beside the base rate: how often the called move happened anyway in comparable past windows. The gap between the two, measured on the calls that have a base rate, is the edge, and it is the figure that can be read across markets.
Hit rate, 1 year
58.8%(51 calls)
30 correct · 21 incorrect (out of 51 checked calls)
After 3 years: 58.8% (34 calls) · on the 33 of 34 calls that have a base rate: 57.6% correct, base rate 48.7%
Above the base rate
+15.4pts
On the 49 of 51 calls with a comparable base rate: 57.1% correct, against a base rate of 41.7%.
Hit rate, 1 year
60.6%(104 calls)
63 correct · 41 incorrect (out of 104 checked calls)
After 3 years: 71.9% (89 calls) · on the 73 of 89 calls that have a base rate: 69.9% correct, base rate 51.9%
Above the base rate
+10.0pts
On the 84 of 104 calls with a comparable base rate: 57.1% correct, against a base rate of 47.2%.
Against its own base rate, on the calls that have one: Andrei Jikh +15.4 pts on 49 of 51 calls, Graham Stephan +10.0 pts on 84 of 104.
Bar: the share correct. Mark: the base rate of that channel's own calls. A window a record is not old enough for shows the date its first result can exist.
Each share beside the base rate of its own market. A market neither channel has made its own calls in is left out; one with calls but no result yet says so.
Of each channel's calls that were correct after 30 days, how many were still correct after a year - with the opposite movement beside it.
Still correct after 1 year
8 of 13
Fewer than 20 calls have both results, so a count is shown and no percentage.
Over the same windows, 67.6% of 30-day moves in the same instruments were still in the same direction after 1 year (measured on 13 of 13 calls).
Correct after 30 days, still open at 1 year: 1
| 30 days / 1 year | Correct 1 year | Incorrect 1 year |
|---|---|---|
| Correct 30 days | 8 | 5 |
| Incorrect 30 days | 4 | 5 |
Still correct after 1 year
9 of 16
Fewer than 20 calls have both results, so a count is shown and no percentage.
Over the same windows, 71.5% of 30-day moves in the same instruments were still in the same direction after 1 year (measured on 16 of 16 calls).
Correct after 30 days, still open at 1 year: 1
| 30 days / 1 year | Correct 1 year | Incorrect 1 year |
|---|---|---|
| Correct 30 days | 9 | 7 |
| Incorrect 30 days | 4 | 7 |
Every instrument both channels have made their own calls on: each channel's latest call, the day it was made, and how it turned out where the window has closed. Two calls are set against each other only when they were made at most 365 days apart. Most recently spoken first.
| Instrument | Agreement | ||
|---|---|---|---|
will fallAug 5, 2026 · Correct after 90 days | will fallJun 25, 2026 · Incorrect after 90 days | Same direction | |
 BTCcalls: 38 and 24 | will riseNov 21, 2025 · Not scored | no direction statedJun 17, 2026 · Not verifiable after 1 year | No direction to set against |
will riseJun 3, 2022 · Not verifiable after 1 year | will riseMay 18, 2026 · Incorrect after 90 days | Made more than 365 days apart: not compared | |
will fallJun 3, 2024 · Not scored | will fallFeb 8, 2021 · Incorrect after 1 year | Made more than 365 days apart: not compared | |
will fallDec 23, 2022 · Incorrect after 1 year | will riseMay 23, 2022 · Not scored | Opposite directions | |
 ETHcalls: 6 and 1 | will riseApr 4, 2022 · Incorrect after 1 year | will riseJan 15, 2018 · Incorrect after 1 year | Made more than 365 days apart: not compared |
 DOGEcalls: 1 and 5 | will rise to $1.00Jan 31, 2022 · Not scored | will fallApr 16, 2021 · Correct after 1 year | Opposite directions |
The same instrument, one call up and one down, made at most 45 days apart - with what each one was worth at one year where that window has closed. The most recent disagreement on each instrument, newest first.
Andrei JikhUp
“I think that's one of the main reasons why the stock market could be going up because the market is betting that they're going to pick devaluing the dollar and saving the bond market is the only way out.”Graham StephanDown
“Historically, when the savings rate reaches an absolute low like this, the stock market tends to suffer in the years following. Now, I'm not saying that's a guarantee, but it's something at least worth considering.”BTCBitcoinMade 19 days apartAndrei JikhUp
“and less Supply equals higher price potential”Graham StephanDown
“I bet there's going to be plenty of short-term spikes over these next few years that are really tempting to buy into because you're like oh my gosh this changes everything and then as it does every single time in the past it eventually subsides and prices fall back down”The channel's own calls only. Up or down counts price calls and crash calls by the direction that was called.
Predictions tracked
232
Not counted: 55 relayed from someone else, 74 own calls not scored
Judged calls
73
with a result at 30 days to a year
Share of vague calls
61%(302 calls)
(Of the channel's own calls, vague ones included, withheld ones left out)
Most called
The channel's own calls only. Up or down counts price calls and crash calls by the direction that was called.
Predictions tracked
550
Not counted: 169 relayed from someone else, 155 own calls not scored
Judged calls
163
with a result at 30 days to a year
Share of vague calls
53%(506 calls)
(Of the channel's own calls, vague ones included, withheld ones left out)
Most called