Why: 30 days
TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Jan 20, 2023 it closed at $133.42, a total return of +22.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.8%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Mar 23, 2023 it closed at $192.22, a total return of +76.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.5%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Jun 21, 2023 it closed at $259.46, a total return of +137.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +14.9%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Dec 22, 2023 it closed at $252.54, a total return of +131.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +26.1%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Dec 22, 2025 it closed at $488.73, a total return of +348.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +86.8%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Dec 22, 2027.