Andrei Jikh: TSLA will fall

Said on Dec 23, 2022, at 13:11 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“it makes perfect sense why the stock has to come down pretty hard”
Watch at 13:11The Rise And Fall Of Tesla Stock
PredictionTSLAwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$109.10

Dec 27, 2022

Price at close

$252.54

Dec 22, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+131.5%

S&P 500 +26.1%

TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Dec 22, 2023 it closed at $252.54, a total return of +131.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +26.1%. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

TSLAWindow checked
$100$150$200$250$300$350Jun 2022Oct 2022Feb 2023Jun 2023Oct 2023Feb 2024Said on Dec 23, 2022
$100$200$300$400Jun 2022Jan 2023Aug 2023Feb 2024Said on Dec 23, 2022

TSLA closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.10Dec 27, 2022$133.42Jan 20, 2023+22.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.8%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.10Dec 27, 2022$192.22Mar 23, 2023+76.2%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.5%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.10Dec 27, 2022$259.46Jun 21, 2023+137.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +14.9%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.10Dec 27, 2022$252.54Dec 22, 2023+131.5%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +26.1%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$109.10Dec 27, 2022$488.73Dec 22, 2025+348.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +86.8%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Dec 22, 2027——
Why: 30 days

TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Jan 20, 2023 it closed at $133.42, a total return of +22.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.8%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Mar 23, 2023 it closed at $192.22, a total return of +76.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.5%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Jun 21, 2023 it closed at $259.46, a total return of +137.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +14.9%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Dec 22, 2023 it closed at $252.54, a total return of +131.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +26.1%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

TSLA closed at $109.10 on Dec 27, 2022. On Dec 22, 2025 it closed at $488.73, a total return of +348.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +86.8%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Dec 22, 2027.

What was said around it

is going to achieve some pretty crazy things in the future and the Mystique around Elon Musk the CEO and if you think about this from the perspective of crypto for a second I know crypto Elon Musk has been instrumental in elevating the stock price but if you think about it from a central point of attack an essential point of failure that's a flaw because this Central Point is a human being that human being regardless of how smart and respected and loved is not perfect that person will make mistakes and so will the company and when you combine all that together it makes perfect sense why the stock has to come down pretty hard that's why I personally love to invest in a broad market index funds and ETFs like voo or vti and one of my favorite reasons for investing like this is because this strategy is self-healing meaning if one of the stocks inside of this ETF doesn't meet the requirements to be here that it gets kicked out and replaced by something that does and this happens automatically without me having to do anything now the downside is that I won't get to enjoy 700 percent per year performance but I also don't have to stress about making back 150 percent to recover my 60 and that's

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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