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Andrei Jikh and Joseph Carlson

Both records at the same windows, each against its own base rate; then every instrument both channels have called.

As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight has checked both channels' calls at one year. Andrei Jikh: 57.1% of the 49 calls that have a comparable base rate were correct, against a base rate of 41.7%. Joseph Carlson: 69.1% of the 68 calls that have a comparable base rate were correct, against a base rate of 61.2%. Every call links to the second it was said.

Choose two channels

The record at 1 year

Correct calls over correct plus incorrect, on the speaker's own calls, beside the base rate: how often the called move happened anyway in comparable past windows. The gap between the two, measured on the calls that have a base rate, is the edge, and it is the figure that can be read across markets.

Andrei Jikh@andreijikh · 3.3M subscribers · 267 videos read

Hit rate, 1 year

58.8%(51 calls)

30 correct · 21 incorrect (out of 51 checked calls)
After 3 years: 58.8% (34 calls) · on the 33 of 34 calls that have a base rate: 57.6% correct, base rate 48.7%

Above the base rate

+15.4pts

On the 49 of 51 calls with a comparable base rate: 57.1% correct, against a base rate of 41.7%.

Joseph Carlson@josephcarlsonshow · 511K subscribers · 190 videos read

Hit rate, 1 year

70.0%(70 calls)

49 correct · 21 incorrect (out of 70 checked calls)
After 3 years: 75.6% (41 calls) · on the 40 of 41 calls that have a base rate: 75.0% correct, base rate 67.5%

Above the base rate

+7.9pts

On the 68 of 70 calls with a comparable base rate: 69.1% correct, against a base rate of 61.2%.

Against its own base rate, on the calls that have one: Andrei Jikh +15.4 pts on 49 of 51 calls, Joseph Carlson +7.9 pts on 68 of 70.

Most of Andrei Jikh's own calls are about the economy; most of Joseph Carlson's are about stocks and funds. The two records below are measured largely on different markets.

Share correct at every window

30 days
44.9%49 callsbase rate 32.1% on 43 of them
40.8%71 callsbase rate 50.0% on 66 of them
90 days
47.1%51 callsbase rate 35.8% on 47 of them
55.6%72 callsbase rate 52.4% on 70 of them
180 days
53.1%49 callsbase rate 37.9% on 47 of them
60.8%74 callsbase rate 56.6% on 72 of them
1 year
58.8%51 callsbase rate 41.7% on 49 of them
70.0%70 callsbase rate 61.2% on 68 of them
3 years
58.8%34 callsbase rate 48.7% on 33 of them
75.6%41 callsbase rate 67.5% on 40 of them
5 years
not yet measured
50.0%4 callsbase rate 50.9% on 4 of them
Hit rateBase rate

Bar: the share correct. Mark: the base rate of that channel's own calls. A window a record is not old enough for shows the date its first result can exist.

By market, at 1 year

Economy
62.1%29 callsbase rate 29.8% on 27 of them
81.3%16 callsbase rate 32.0% on 14 of them
Stocks & funds
60.0%10 callsbase rate 52.4% on 10 of them
66.7%54 callsbase rate 68.7% on 54 of them
Crypto
50.0%12 callsbase rate 59.7% on 12 of them
no judged calls

Each share beside the base rate of its own market. A market neither channel has made its own calls in is left out; one with calls but no result yet says so.

Of each channel's calls that were correct after 30 days, how many were still correct after a year - with the opposite movement beside it.

Still correct after 1 year: Andrei Jikh

Still correct after 1 year

8 of 13

Fewer than 20 calls have both results, so a count is shown and no percentage.
Over the same windows, 67.6% of 30-day moves in the same instruments were still in the same direction after 1 year (measured on 13 of 13 calls).
Correct after 30 days, still open at 1 year: 1

30 days → 1 year
30 days / 1 yearCorrect 1 yearIncorrect 1 year
Correct 30 days85
Incorrect 30 days45

Still correct after 1 year: Joseph Carlson

Still correct after 1 year

84.0%(25 calls)

21 of 25 calls that were correct after 30 days
Over the same windows, 75.4% of 30-day moves in the same instruments were still in the same direction after 1 year (measured on 25 of 25 calls).

30 days → 1 year
30 days / 1 yearCorrect 1 yearIncorrect 1 year
Correct 30 days214
Incorrect 30 days913

Where their calls agree and where they do not

4 instruments in common

Every instrument both channels have made their own calls on: each channel's latest call, the day it was made, and how it turned out where the window has closed. Two calls are set against each other only when they were made at most 365 days apart. Most recently spoken first.

Where their calls agree and where they do not
InstrumentAndrei JikhJoseph CarlsonAgreement
SPYcalls: 15 and 7
will fallAug 5, 2026 · Correct after 90 days
will riseJun 30, 2023 · Correct after 1 year
Made more than 365 days apart: not compared
METAcalls: 1 and 3
a company eventOct 31, 2022 · Not verifiable after 1 year
will riseMar 16, 2026 · Not scored
Made more than 365 days apart: not compared
TSLAcalls: 1 and 1
will fallDec 23, 2022 · Incorrect after 1 year
will riseJun 23, 2025 · Correct after 1 year
Made more than 365 days apart: not compared
DIScalls: 1 and 10
will riseJan 17, 2022 · Incorrect after 1 year
will riseOct 9, 2023 · Correct after 1 year
Made more than 365 days apart: not compared

Called in opposite directions within 45 days

The same instrument, one call up and one down, made at most 45 days apart - with what each one was worth at one year where that window has closed. The most recent disagreement on each instrument, newest first.

No calls in opposite directions made within 45 days of each other.

Market stance: Andrei Jikh

The channel's own calls only. Up or down counts price calls and crash calls by the direction that was called.

Up 34 (60%)Down 20 (35%)No direction 3 (5%)

Predictions tracked

232

Not counted: 55 relayed from someone else, 74 own calls not scored

Judged calls

73

with a result at 30 days to a year

Share of vague calls

61%(302 calls)

(Of the channel's own calls, vague ones included, withheld ones left out)

Most called

Market stance: Joseph Carlson

The channel's own calls only. Up or down counts price calls and crash calls by the direction that was called.

Up 109 (87%)Down 16 (13%)

Predictions tracked

245

Not counted: 19 relayed from someone else, 97 own calls not scored

Judged calls

99

with a result at 30 days to a year

Share of vague calls

54%(366 calls)

(Of the channel's own calls, vague ones included, withheld ones left out)

Most called

Hit rates count each distinct call once, however often it was repeated, and leave out calls that could not be checked. Methodology