SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equity

US

$765.10

+1.4% close Nov 4, 2026

As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight has recorded 73 calls on SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) that tracked YouTube channels made themselves, not counting forecasts read out from others: 42 expected a rise and 10 a fall. At one year: 31 correct, 12 incorrect, 5 still open. The other 25 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why. Repeats are counted separately.

Own calls on it

73

latest Sep 9, 2026

Up / down calls

▲ 42 / ▼ 10

Own calls with a clear direction, all time

Results at 1 year

31 Correct 12 Incorrect

31 correct · 12 incorrect · 0 partly correct · 0 within band · 5 open. Repeats counted separately.

Price, last year

+14.5%

Total return, dividends included

About SPY

SPY is the exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF. Daily prices go back to Jan 2015. Callsight has recorded 73 calls on it by 4 channels.

Type
ETF
Market
United States
Prices since
Jan 2015
Callsight record
73 calls by 4 channelsMar 16, 2017 – Sep 9, 2026

Read from Callsight's own price and call records. Updated with the nightly run.

SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETFUSEquity
$765.10+13.3%
1Y
Indicators:
Calls (13 of 78):
Each bar: 1 weekEach bar: 1 month

Too many days to draw one by one at this width, so each candle and volume bar covers a week or a month. Zoom in to see single days.

Each bar: 1 weekEach bar: 1 month

Too many days to draw one by one at this width, so each candle and volume bar covers a week or a month. Zoom in to see single days.

Hollow marker: somebody else's forecast, relayed — not scored
Change over period+13.3%
Period high$781.62
Period low$629.28
Average volume63.4M

Left and right arrows step through the days; with Shift they move the view. Plus and minus zoom. N and P jump to the next or previous call, and Enter opens it. Escape clears the day, 0 resets the view.

The chart marks 78 calls with a direction, relayed ones included.

What the channels say about SPY

Up 42Down 10No direction 21

Every call on SPY

102 calls in all, newest first: 73 own, 29 relaying someone else's forecast (not scored).

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“Instead, just invest the difference in the S&P 500. And over the long term, over the next 20 years, you're going to have so much more money than what you would have put in the property.”
Watch at 5:38I Paid Off My 2.875% Mortgage…Dave Ramsey Was Right
PredictionSPYwill outperformChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“Fidelity thinks that this is just the very beginning and the markets will continue going higher because of AI.”
Watch at 10:54BREAKING: The Bond Market Is Collapsing - Massive Bailout Has Begun!
PredictionSPYwill rise

Recorded as markets, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Fidelity — not scored

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“However, before the United States returns to the big print, the markets can continue going down.”
Watch at 22:18The U.S. Is Now Buying Yen
PredictionSPYwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as markets, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 90 days
Correct so far · 90 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$768.56

Aug 6, 2026

Price at close

$754.35

Nov 3, 2026

Total return, dividends included

−1.6%

SPY closed at $768.56 on Aug 6, 2026. On Nov 3, 2026 it closed at $754.35, a total return of −1.6% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Within band

90 days

Correct

180 days

Pending

1 year

Pending

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“On top of that, Morgan Stanley also believes 500 is going to rise this year, ending at 7,800. Citibank sees 7,700, and both JP Morgan and Wells Fargo see a relatively flat market for these next few months.”
Watch at 9:07The AI Bubble Just Collapsed — A Warning For America
PredictionSPYwill riseby Dec 31, 2026
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Morgan Stanley — not scored

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“Goldman Sachs just raised their year-end S&P 500 target to 8,000, up from 7,600, which implies solid upside from where we are today.”
Watch at 8:31The AI Bubble Just Collapsed — A Warning For America
PredictionSPYwill rise
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Goldman Sachs — not scored

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“Historically, when the savings rate reaches an absolute low like this, the stock market tends to suffer in the years following. Now, I'm not saying that's a guarantee, but it's something at least worth considering.”
Watch at 10:37WTF Just Happened To Your Retirement Accounts?!
PredictionSPYwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as stock market, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 90 days
Incorrect so far · 90 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$728.99

Jun 26, 2026

Price at close

$767.81

Sep 23, 2026

Total return, dividends included

+5.6%

SPY closed at $728.99 on Jun 26, 2026. On Sep 23, 2026 it closed at $767.81, a total return of +5.6% (dividends included). The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Pending

1 year

Pending

Earlier calls

Andrei JikhSPYwill rise

“I think that's one of the main reasons why the stock market could be going up because the market is betting that they're going to pick devaluing the dollar and saving the bond market is the only way out.”

May 15, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+5.6%

Graham StephanSPYwill rise

“It looks as though the stock market might continue getting even more expensive over time.”

May 4, 2026 · after 180 days

Correct so far · 180 days+4.9%

Graham Stephan, relaying Fidelity: SPY will rise

“In fact, Fidelity believes that because of AI, the stock market's going to continue moving higher.”

May 4, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: SPY will fall

“Anyway, this scenario ends with the S&P 500 falling 38% to roughly 3,500, a level that we've not seen since before ChatGPT launched. Home prices fall in all major metros.”

Feb 27, 2026

Relayed

Andrei JikhSPYwill rise

“In the long term though, I think it's a gift, right? It's an opportunity for me to buy.”

Feb 10, 2026 · after 180 days

Correct so far · 180 days+12.3%

Graham Stephan, relaying Deutsche Bank: SPY will rise

“even though Deutsche Bank is still predicting a nearly 17% gain.”

Jan 28, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Bank of America: SPY will rise

“Bank of America predicts that the S&P 500 is going to reach 7100 by the end of 2026, implying just a 3.7%”

Jan 28, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephana call under review

“long-term, any price increase we see will likely be drowned out by the negative consequences that we've already discussed.”

Jul 18, 2025

Not scored

Graham Stephana call under review

“in the very very short term, there is a chance that the stock market could begin to rally on the promise of lower interest rates.”

Jul 18, 2025

Not scored

Graham StephanSPYwill rise

“long-term I'm still very optimistic about the markets.”

Jul 3, 2025 · after 1 year

Correct+21.3%

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“But long-term, I wouldn't expect this to have any meaningful consequences. And it doesn't really change anything about the market fundamentals.”

Jun 6, 2025

Not scored

Graham StephanSPYwill rise

“you are practically guaranteed to make money in the stock market over the next 20 years regardless of what happens in the short term”

Feb 28, 2025 · after 1 year

Correct+18.9%

Graham Stephan, relaying Oppenheimer: SPY will rise

“Oppenheimer came in with one of the most bullish cases believing the market could rise another 20% by the end of December”

Feb 3, 2025

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying another source: SPY will rise

“most expert analysts believe the market is going to be going higher for instance Morgan Stanley JP Morgan and golden Sachs believe the S&P 500 will end the year at 6500 and Oppenheimer came in with one of the most bullish cases believing the market could rise another 20% by the end of December”

Feb 3, 2025

Relayed
See all 102 predictions

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Questions people ask

What have finance YouTubers predicted for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)?

As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight has recorded 73 calls on SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) that tracked YouTube channels made themselves, not counting forecasts read out from others: 42 expected a rise and 10 a fall. At one year: 31 correct, 12 incorrect, 5 still open. The other 25 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why. Repeats are counted separately.

Why does this page give counts and not an accuracy rate?

A hit rate means little without a base rate beside it, and the calls on one instrument span different windows and directions, so this page gives the counts and every call instead. Each channel's rates, set against base rates, are on that channel's own page.

How is a call on SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) checked?

It is measured from the first closing price after the video went public and checked at 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, by fixed rules that are the same for every channel. The methodology page has them in full.

Is this investment advice?

No. This is a record of what people said in public and what happened next. Nothing here tells you to buy or sell anything.