“On top of that, Morgan Stanley also believes 500 is going to rise this year, ending at 7,800. Citibank sees 7,700, and both JP Morgan and Wells Fargo see a relatively flat market for these next few months.”Graham Stephan, relaying Morgan Stanley: SPY will rise
Said on Jul 27, 2026, at 9:07 in the video.
The window it was checked over
SPY closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Morgan Stanley — not scored
What was said around it
8,000, up from 7,600, which implies solid upside from where we are today. And here's the thing, their projections aren't just because stonks go up, it's because of earnings. In this case, they're projecting the S&P 500 to generate $340 a share this year, which works out to be 24% growth, all because AI infrastructure companies are rapidly expanding and are making money. Or in their words, "Earnings growth has powered basically the entire market return this year, and they expect that to continue." On top of that, Morgan Stanley also believes 500 is going to rise this year, ending at 7,800. Citibank sees 7,700, and both JP Morgan and Wells Fargo see a relatively flat market for these next few months. But no major bank sees anything other than that. Worst case, it seems to be they think a flat market will probably go up a little bit, but nothing is going to collapse. Because so far, earnings this last quarter has been pretty good. In fact, blended earnings growth is now running near 25% revenue growth is near 13% 88% of companies are beating estimates and analysts expect that momentum to continue throughout the rest of the year. Compare that to the dot-com bubble where you had companies making
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