Graham Stephan, relaying Fidelity: SPY will rise

Said on May 4, 2026, at 9:58 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“In fact, Fidelity believes that because of AI, the stock market's going to continue moving higher.”
Watch at 9:58Stock Market Just Hit ANOTHER Record - WTF Just Happened?!
PredictionSPYwill rise

Recorded as stock market, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Fidelity — not scored

The window it was checked over

SPYWindow checked
$600$650$700$750$800Nov 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026Jan 2027May 2027Said on May 4, 2026
$600$650$700$750$800Nov 2025May 2026Nov 2026May 2027Said on May 4, 2026

SPY closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Attributed to Fidelity — not scored

What was said around it

in a bubble, but Fidelity says there are some warning signs that they recommend everyone be observant of. And if you're curious what those are, here you go. One, companies burning through cash while spending more than they make. Two, businesses each owning a piece of each other to the point where if one falls, they all fall. Three, debt levels are growing out of proportion to profits. Four, AI hitting a limit in terms of how much energy it uses, which would literally cap growth. And five, if borrowing costs increase, their profits will decrease. In fact, Fidelity believes that because of AI, the stock market's going to continue moving higher. The simple fact that smaller companies will adopt it. Professional service companies, industrial firms, healthcare and utility companies, they'll all be able to scale. And yes, when you look at the CAPE ratio, it's high, okay? There's no way around it. But Ben Carlson argues that you shouldn't really be looking at the last 150 years because that's not how our economy works anymore. A better metric is just to look at the last 30 years when the internet was widely accepted. And as you can see, the average isn't anywhere near as crazy as people make

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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