“Bank of America predicts that the S&P 500 is going to reach 7100 by the end of 2026, implying just a 3.7%”Graham Stephan, relaying Bank of America: SPY will rise
Said on Jan 28, 2026, at 2:56 in the video.
The window it was checked over
SPY closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Bank of America — not scored
What was said around it
damages the central bank's credibility around the world, leading to a potential sell-off of US dollars. Either way, Jerome Powell's current term comes to an end in May of 2026. And after that, we're likely going to see some pretty significant changes across everything, including first the stock market. As of now, there's a lot of skepticism about where the market's currently headed. I mean, it's no surprise over the last 5 years, the market has done incredibly well. But going forward, some analysts are getting a lot more cautious. For example, Bank of America predicts that the S&P 500 is going to reach 7100 by the end of 2026, implying just a 3.7% increase from today, even though Deutsche Bank is still predicting a nearly 17% gain. However, it is worth mentioning that so far not a single analyst has predicted that the market would end the year negative. And the last time this happened, 2008 before the market fell 40% and in 2001 before the S&P 500 fell another 13%. Anyway, now that the S&P 500 is on track for its fourth straight year of gains, CNN points out that there's a very clear bullcase and barecase scenario that everyone needs to be made aware of. So, let's first start with why
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on SPY
Graham StephanSPYwill outperform
“Instead, just invest the difference in the S&P 500. And over the long term, over the next 20 years, you're going to have so much more money than what you would have put in the property.”
Sep 9, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying Fidelity: SPY will rise
“Fidelity thinks that this is just the very beginning and the markets will continue going higher because of AI.”
Aug 25, 2026
Andrei JikhSPYwill fall
“However, before the United States returns to the big print, the markets can continue going down.”
Aug 5, 2026 · after 30 days
Graham Stephan, relaying Morgan Stanley: SPY will rise
“On top of that, Morgan Stanley also believes 500 is going to rise this year, ending at 7,800. Citibank sees 7,700, and both JP Morgan and Wells Fargo see a relatively flat market for these next few months.”
Jul 27, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying Goldman Sachs: SPY will rise
“Goldman Sachs just raised their year-end S&P 500 target to 8,000, up from 7,600, which implies solid upside from where we are today.”
Jul 27, 2026
Graham StephanSPYwill fall
“Historically, when the savings rate reaches an absolute low like this, the stock market tends to suffer in the years following. Now, I'm not saying that's a guarantee, but it's something at least worth considering.”
Jun 25, 2026 · after 90 days