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Joseph Carlson: TSLA will rise

Said on Jun 23, 2025, at 22:47 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I believe that this is an incrementally bullish move for Tesla. So, it makes sense that the stock is up today, that investors are more bullish on it, and I think that this move is deserved.”
Watch at 22:47I Keep Buying This Stock (I Bought More Today)
PredictionTSLAwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$340.47

Jun 24, 2025

Price at close

$381.61

Jun 23, 2026

Total return, dividends included

+12.1%

S&P 500 +22.2%

TSLA closed at $340.47 on Jun 24, 2025. On Jun 23, 2026 it closed at $381.61, a total return of +12.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +22.2%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

TSLAWindow checked
$200$300$400$500$600Dec 2024Apr 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Aug 2026Said on Jun 23, 2025
$200$300$400$500Dec 2024Jul 2025Feb 2026Aug 2026Said on Jun 23, 2025

TSLA closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$340.47Jun 24, 2025$332.56Jul 23, 2025−2.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$340.47Jun 24, 2025$426.07Sep 19, 2025+25.1%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +9.7%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$340.47Jun 24, 2025$481.20Dec 19, 2025+41.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +12.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$340.47Jun 24, 2025$381.61Jun 23, 2026+12.1%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +22.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jun 22, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jun 21, 2030——
Why: 30 days

TSLA closed at $340.47 on Jun 24, 2025. On Jul 23, 2025 it closed at $332.56, a total return of −2.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

TSLA closed at $340.47 on Jun 24, 2025. On Sep 19, 2025 it closed at $426.07, a total return of +25.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +9.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

TSLA closed at $340.47 on Jun 24, 2025. On Dec 19, 2025 it closed at $481.20, a total return of +41.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +12.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

TSLA closed at $340.47 on Jun 24, 2025. On Jun 23, 2026 it closed at $381.61, a total return of +12.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +22.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 22, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 21, 2030.

What was said around it

influencers there with people in the passenger seat. There's a lot of caveats, but even so, Tesla is moving in the right direction. And I believe investors should look at this event as a bullish iterative development in the company. Tesla still has a lot to prove. Scaling from 10 vehicles to hundreds of vehicles introduces lots of opportunities for edge cases and weirder things to happen. things that Whimo has been dealing with for years. So, there's still a lot to be said for the future, but as of right now, I believe that this is an incrementally bullish move for Tesla. So, it makes sense that the stock is up today, that investors are more bullish on it, and I think that this move is deserved. If I was a Tesla investor waiting for 4 years for this company to release the robo taxi network, even with the small caveats, I would still be happy about this change. One company that this leaves into more question, I believe, is Uber. The only real reason that I haven't bought Uber stock is my concern over autonomous vehicle technology. Not just Tesla, but with Whimo. These companies are proving that this technology works, that it can work, that it can scale, and that it can take market share. Now,

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Andrei JikhTSLAwill fall

“it makes perfect sense why the stock has to come down pretty hard”

Dec 23, 2022 · after 1 year

Incorrect+131.5%

Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: TSLA will fall

“he said that Tesla could drop as much as 80 to 90 percent and now that Tesla is down almost 70 percent it looks like maybe he really can predict the future”

Dec 23, 2022

Relayed

Graham StephanTSLAwill rise

“I'm still holding the majority of my Tesla stock, and I'm still bullish on the company long term.”

May 23, 2022

Not scored

Joseph Carlson, relaying another source: TSLA will rise

“there's people that say that tesla's going to triple while they're selling their shares”

Oct 5, 2021

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Cathie Wood: TSLA will rise to $3,000

“and who knows maybe kathy wood's prediction that this might one day hit 3 000 a share could be true”

Apr 12, 2021

Relayed

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“I've owned Tesla stock since it was the equivalent of $51 back in April of 2019, which wow, sounds like a very long time ago. But every now and then, I continue to buy more and add to my position.”

Nov 17, 2020

Not scored