Said on Aug 10, 2026, at 8:45 in the video.
“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 10, 2027.
30 days
Pending
90 days
Pending
180 days
Pending
1 year
Pending
This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.
S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4 | Pending | — | —Sep 9, 2026 | — | — |
| 90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4 | Pending | — | —Nov 8, 2026 | — | — |
| 180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4 | Pending | — | —Feb 6, 2027 | — | — |
| 1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4 | Pending | — | —Aug 10, 2027 | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4 | Pending | — | —Aug 9, 2029 | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4 | Pending | — | —Aug 9, 2031 | — | — |
Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 9, 2026.
Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 8, 2026.
Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 6, 2027.
Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 10, 2027.
Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 9, 2029.
Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 9, 2031.
$1,900 a month at a 6 12% interest rate. All of that is to say that generally, the higher interest rates go, the more expensive it is to finance a property, the more buyers get priced out and the less likely sellers are to move. And the data backs this up. Like just recently it was reported that home sales are slowing due to rising costs. Although even though this might sound like home prices are finally coming down. This is the moment. Nope, they are not. In this case, rising interest rates are usually associated with a fairly strong and resilient economy. And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher. In fact, there have only ever been a handful of times in history that mortgage rates went up and housing prices went down. Even with a lag effect, the correlation between the two is almost non-existent. If anything, inflation and economic conditions affect the housing market significantly more than interest rates do. If anything, higher interest rates do slow housing activity, but it doesn't crush prices. This means for sellers and homeowners, even though rising interest rates makes your home a lot more expensive to purchase, it doesn't decline in value proportionally.
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”
Jul 22, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”
Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures
“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Jul 15, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: House prices will rise
“Meanwhile, prices are expected to rise throughout a lot of the more affordable areas in the Midwest.”
Jun 17, 2026