“Betas on Poly Market currently price around a 37% chance of MSTR leaving the
MSEI index by year end.”Coin Bureau, relaying another source: MSTR — a company event
Said on Aug 10, 2026, at 12:24 in the video.
The window it was checked over
MSTR closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
you are not owning Bitcoin. You're owning a piece of a capital allocator that focuses primarily on Bitcoin. And there is one other thing you should be aware of if you're touching MSTR, but it's not some scary headline sale number. It's index exclusion. MCI ran a consultation on kicking out companies whose digital assets exceed half their total assets. And in January, it declined to do it. but it simultaneously open a broader review into non-operating companies, noting that some of these firms look a lot like investment funds. Betas on Poly Market currently price around a 37% chance of MSTR leaving the MSEI index by year end. And if that happens, it would trigger a wave of force selling from index tracking funds with no regard for price and no way for strategy to stop it. So be sure to monitor those polyarket dots. But let's shift our focus back to strategy selling Bitcoin. Sailor's defense posted on the 3rd of August was that when he says never sell, he speaks as one hodler to another. That he has never sold a single Satoshi of his own and that strategy is not his wallet. Although there is evidence to the contrary when it comes to sailor saying strategy
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.