“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction
Said on Jul 27, 2026, at 12:54 in the video.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedAttributed to Ed Yardeni — not scored
What was said around it
everything goes correctly, that there are no bumps along the way. But earlier this year, that very same Goldman Sachs published a scenario where an oil shock from the Iran conflict drags the S&P 500 down to 5400. And surprisingly, the spread between their bull case and bear case was the widest range they've published since 2020, which is just a fancy way of saying that the range of outcomes right now is enormous. Separate from that, Barclays has mapped out a bear case near 5900, and the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures. That's why when you actually begin to stress test the bull case, holes start to appear with the first being, number one, really high earnings expectations. Remember, the bull case depends on 24% earnings growth actually happening. Everything is priced to near perfection. It assumes that we're going to see sustained double-digit revenue growth, continued margin expansion, successful AI monetization, no recession, and no spike in interest rates. But, here's the math that nobody wants
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
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