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Coin Bureau price predictions: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP checked
By Callsight · Published Oct 9, 2026 · Updated Oct 9, 2026
Figures as of Nov 4, 2026. They change as new windows settle.
As of Nov 4, 2026, 82 of Coin Bureau’s forecasts were Correct at one year and 95 Incorrect, a hit rate of 46.3% on 177. On the 160 with a comparable base rate, 46.9% were Correct, against a base rate of 49.2%. The channel has 190 counted calls on Bitcoin, 87 on Ethereum, 31 on Solana and 6 on XRP.
What is Coin Bureau’s track record on predictions?
Callsight counts 586 forecasts that Coin Bureau made in its own words and checks each one at the same 6 windows, from 30 days to 5 years. The table shows every window, because a call can be Incorrect at three months and Correct at a year. Beside each hit rate is its base rate: how often the move the channel called happened anyway over a window that long, measured on the same calls.
| Window | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Hit rate | Base rate | Above the base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 76 | 103 | 1 | 42.5% (179) | 45.7% on 161 of 179 | −2.2 pts |
| 90 days | 77 | 103 | 1 | 42.8% (180) | 47.3% on 167 of 180 | −4.8 pts |
| 180 days | 83 | 97 | 7 | 46.1% (180) | 48.6% on 168 of 180 | −3.3 pts |
| 1 year | 82 | 95 | 43 | 46.3% (177) | 49.2% on 160 of 177 | −2.3 pts |
| 3 years | 50 | 40 | 267 | 55.6% (90) | 47.2% on 56 of 90 | +13.5 pts |
| 5 years | 0 | 0 | 433 | — | — | — |
The table counts a call the channel repeated on the same subject, in the same direction, within 90 days once, as the ranking does, so its counts are smaller than the call-by-call counts below. Of the 177 forecasts decided at one year, 130 are on coins, 36 on the economy and 11 on shares and funds. Every call, with its words and the verdict at each window, is in the channel’s list of calls, and Coin Bureau’s page has its record on every subject.
How accurate are Coin Bureau’s crypto price predictions?
At one year, the channel’s crypto calls stand at 58 Correct and 72 Incorrect, a hit rate of 44.6% on 130. On the 118 of these 130 that have a comparable base rate, 44.1% were Correct, against a base rate of 53.0%, a difference of −8.9 pts. With a base rate above half, the move these calls named happened more often than not over a year, whoever made the call. On 130 calls, one call either way moves the rate by about 0.8 points. The table has every window:
| Window | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Hit rate | Base rate | Above the base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 58 | 77 | 0 | 43.0% (135) | 50.3% on 131 of 135 | −7.6 pts |
| 90 days | 59 | 74 | 0 | 44.4% (133) | 51.5% on 128 of 133 | −8.5 pts |
| 180 days | 63 | 71 | 6 | 47.0% (134) | 52.8% on 128 of 134 | −7.5 pts |
| 1 year | 58 | 72 | 39 | 44.6% (130) | 53.0% on 118 of 130 | −8.9 pts |
| 3 years | 34 | 30 | 226 | 53.1% (64) | 51.2% on 32 of 64 | +5.0 pts |
| 5 years | 0 | 0 | 346 | — | — | — |
Which coins did Coin Bureau call most?
The channel’s 419 counted crypto calls cover 51 coins. Each row below counts Coin Bureau’s own calls on one coin, and the Counted column leaves out those the record does not score, such as a position already held. Results are at one year, with no rate per coin, because this page has no base rate for each coin’s calls to set one against.
| Coin | Own calls | Counted | Correct, 1 year | Incorrect, 1 year | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 242 | 190 | 63 | 82 | 45 |
| ETH | 100 | 87 | 27 | 29 | 31 |
| SOL | 33 | 31 | 3 | 15 | 13 |
| SUI | 11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| DOGE | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| BNB | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| AVAX | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| XRP | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| APT | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| ADA | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
What did Coin Bureau predict for Bitcoin?
Callsight lists 288 calls on Bitcoin from the channel’s videos and counts 190 of them. The other 98 are forecasts the channel read out from someone else, shown with their source, or remarks of its own that the record leaves out, with the reason on each card. Of the counted calls, 129 called for a higher price and 48 for a lower one; 11 named no direction for the price and 2 compared Bitcoin with another asset.
62 of the counted calls were about crypto as a whole, which the method judges on Bitcoin for every channel alike. The card of such a call names the word that was recorded.
At one year, the counted Bitcoin calls stand at 63 Correct, 82 Incorrect, 1 Partly correct, 29 still open and 15 that could not be checked. The calls for a higher price come to 54 Correct, 47 Incorrect, 1 Partly correct, 25 still open and 2 that could not be checked, and those for a lower one to 9 Correct, 35 Incorrect and 4 still open. Every Bitcoin call, from every channel, is on the Bitcoin page, and Callsight’s article on YouTubers’ Bitcoin price predictions sets each channel’s Bitcoin calls beside the base rate of the same calls.
One Bitcoin call that is Correct at one year, chosen by the rule at the end of this article:
“Now, with a bit of luck, history will continue on its current trajectory, and BTC's value will continue to grow exponentially indefinitely.”Entry price (first close after the video)
$63,925
Apr 13, 2024
Price at close
$83,760
Apr 13, 2025
Return
+31.0%
S&P 500 +7.2%
BTC closed at $63,925 on Apr 13, 2024. On Apr 13, 2025 it closed at $83,760, a return of +31.0%. SPY returned +7.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Correct
No deadline was stated; the headline is the one-year window, where it is Correct. At 30 days, 90 days and 180 days it was Incorrect. The words speak of the long run, and the windows at 3 years and 5 years are still open; the call’s page will show them as they settle.
And one that is Incorrect:
“all of
this is bearish for the US dollar and you know what that means dollar down equals Bitcoin up”Entry price (first close after the video)
$104,288
Jun 6, 2025
Price at close
$60,885
Jun 6, 2026
Return
−41.6%
S&P 500 +24.5%
BTC closed at $104,288 on Jun 6, 2025. On Jun 6, 2026 it closed at $60,885, a return of −41.6%. SPY returned +24.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Correct
90 days
Correct
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
No deadline was stated; the headline is the one-year window, where it is Incorrect. At 30 days and 90 days it was Correct.
What did Coin Bureau predict for Ethereum?
Callsight lists 118 calls on Ethereum from the channel’s videos and counts 87 of them. Of the counted calls, 22 were about altcoins in general, which the method judges on Ethereum for every channel, and 17 compared Ethereum with another asset. The method does not check a comparison yet, so each comparison is Not verifiable. At one year, the counted Ethereum calls stand at 27 Correct, 29 Incorrect, 7 still open and 24 that could not be checked. Every Ethereum call, from every channel, is on the Ethereum page.
A price target on Ethereum that is Correct at one year, chosen by the same rule:
“maybe
ETH is in a long-term accumulation phase pending a massive breakout that will create a new price
floor perhaps above the current resistance at $4,000”Entry price (first close after the video)
$2,772
Jun 11, 2025
Price at close
$1,673
Jun 11, 2026
Return
−39.6%
ETH was $2,772 on Jun 11, 2025. The target was $4,000. Between then and Jun 11, 2026 the high was $4,957, so the level was reached.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Correct
180 days
Correct
1 year
Correct
No deadline was stated; the headline is the one-year window, where it is Correct. At 30 days it was Incorrect. The words speak of the long run, and the windows at 3 years and 5 years are still open; the call’s page will show them as they settle.
And a call on its direction that is Incorrect:
“from our perspective
ETH could continue to see further upside from here and that's for several reasons”Entry price (first close after the video)
$2,680
May 13, 2025
Price at close
$2,259
May 13, 2026
Return
−15.7%
S&P 500 +27.9%
ETH closed at $2,680 on May 13, 2025. On May 13, 2026 it closed at $2,259, a return of −15.7%. SPY returned +27.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Correct
180 days
Correct
1 year
Incorrect
No deadline was stated; the headline is the one-year window, where it is Incorrect. At 90 days and 180 days it was Correct.
What did Coin Bureau predict for XRP and Solana?
The channel made far fewer calls on these two coins. Callsight lists 7 calls on XRP from the channel’s videos and counts 6, 4 of them price targets. A sample of 6 is too small for a rate, so none is given; at one year the counted calls stand at 1 Correct, 3 Incorrect, 1 Partly correct and 1 that could not be checked.
One of the XRP targets, chosen by the rule at the end of this article:
“we believe that xrp could rise as high as $7 by the end of the year though it could be closer to $5”Entry price (first close after the video)
$2.39
Mar 15, 2025
Price at close
$1.45
Mar 15, 2026
Return
−39.4%
XRP was $2.39 on Mar 15, 2025. The target was $7.00. Between then and Mar 15, 2026 the high was $3.66, so the level was not reached.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
The words set a deadline, which the card dates to Dec 31, 2025. At that date the call is Incorrect, as it is at one year, the headline window.
On Solana, Callsight lists 34 calls and counts 31, 15 of them price targets. At one year the counted calls stand at 3 Correct, 15 Incorrect, 1 Within band, 2 still open and 10 that could not be checked, and the targets alone at 3 Correct and 12 Incorrect. These are counts, with no base rate set against them, so no rate is given. No Solana call is shown here as an example; the last section says why. Every call on the two coins, from every channel, is on the XRP page and the Solana page.
What price targets did Coin Bureau set?
A price target names a level. It is Correct when the day’s high reaches the level inside the window (the day’s low, for a target below the price), and Partly correct when the window’s last close had covered at least 50% of the way from the entry price to the level. Callsight counts 104 price targets from the channel, 34 of them on Bitcoin: 21 for a higher price and 13 for a lower one. At one year, all of them together stand at 30 Correct, 44 Incorrect, 3 Partly correct, 4 still open and 23 that could not be checked, and the Bitcoin targets at 13 Correct, 15 Incorrect, 1 Partly correct, 3 still open and 2 that could not be checked.
These are counts of calls, repeats included, and this page sets no base rate against them, so it gives no rate. A target can also be reached after its first year; the windows at 3 years and 5 years on each call’s page show whether it was. The Bitcoin page lists every Bitcoin target from every channel, and the methodology page gives the rule in full.
What did Coin Bureau say about recessions, crashes and the Fed?
At one year, the channel’s economic calls stand at 17 Correct and 19 Incorrect, a hit rate of 47.2% on 36. On the 33 of these 36 that have a comparable base rate, 51.5% were Correct, against a base rate of 35.2%, a difference of +16.4 pts. On 36 calls, one call either way moves the rate by about 2.8 points.
| Window | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Hit rate | Base rate | Above the base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 9 | 22 | 1 | 29.0% (31) | 10.4% on 19 of 31 | +21.2 pts |
| 90 days | 12 | 22 | 1 | 35.3% (34) | 26.1% on 28 of 34 | +9.6 pts |
| 180 days | 14 | 19 | 1 | 42.4% (33) | 28.2% on 29 of 33 | +16.6 pts |
| 1 year | 17 | 19 | 3 | 47.2% (36) | 35.2% on 33 of 36 | +16.4 pts |
| 3 years | 14 | 8 | 31 | 63.6% (22) | 42.0% on 21 of 22 | +24.6 pts |
| 5 years | 0 | 0 | 71 | — | — | — |
An economic call’s base rate is how often the change it names happened over a window that long in the series’ own history. A call on the Fed is Correct when the target rate moves at least 25 basis points the called way inside the window. The method’s base rate for the Fed is taken from the target rate’s history since December 2008, and in much of that history the rate did not move at all. It therefore treats a hike or a cut as rarer than either has been in recent years, which makes a Correct Fed call look stronger against it than it is.
25 of the channel’s counted calls are about the Fed’s rate, and at one year they stand at 18 Correct, 4 Incorrect and 3 that could not be checked. Another 54 forecasts on the Fed’s rate in its videos were other people’s, read out on air; they are listed with their source and never counted. On inflation, 16 counted calls stand at 6 Correct, 6 Incorrect, 3 Within band and 1 still open at one year. Every call on the Fed’s rate, from every channel, is on the Fed rate page.
12 of the channel’s counted calls are about a recession or a technical recession, and 10 of them said one would come. At one year they stand at 0 Correct, 9 Incorrect, 2 still open and 1 that could not be checked. A recession call is judged on the months the National Bureau of Economic Research dates as recession. When none falls inside the window, the verdict waits 15 months after the window closes, because the dating comes late. Another 16 of the channel’s own calls on a recession or a technical recession are held out of every count, because a review found that the way they were recorded may not match the words; each card gives the reason. Every recession call, from every channel, is on the recession page.
47 of the channel’s counted calls are filed under a market crash. The crash rule reads the US stock market as a whole, through the S&P 500 fund, so a call whose words name crypto, or whose subject is another market, is Not verifiable. 43 of the channel’s crash calls are of that kind, and the other 4 stand at 0 Correct, 2 Incorrect and 2 Partly correct at one year. Every crash call, from every channel, is on the market crash page, and the methodology page lists every reason a call can be Not verifiable.
Why aren’t relayed forecasts counted?
Coin Bureau’s videos often read out other people’s forecasts, such as a bank’s price target. Callsight lists 205 of them. Each is shown with its source, where the words name one, and none is counted for or against the channel, because in the channel’s record a bank’s forecast would be filed under the wrong author. The card below is one of them: a Bitcoin target from JP Morgan, listed under its source and never counted.
“And this would be roughly in line with analysts at JP Morgan who see Bitcoin reaching $150,000 this
year.”Does Callsight track Coin Bureau’s portfolio?
No. Callsight records what the channel predicts on air. A position the channel says it already holds is listed and never scored, and so is a call made on a livestream, where the moment of speaking, and so the first price, is uncertain. In all, 144 of the channel’s own remarks are listed but not counted, each with the reason on its card.
How does Coin Bureau’s record compare with other channels?
The record of every tracked channel sets each one-year hit rate against its own base rate, and the comparison page puts Coin Bureau’s calls beside another channel’s. Three other articles check Andrei Jikh’s Bitcoin calls, Graham Stephan’s calls on housing and Joseph Carlson’s stock calls the same way. Another sets the channels’ Bitcoin calls side by side.
How was each forecast checked?
Each call is quoted word for word from the video and linked to the second it was said. A price call is measured from the first closing price after the video went public; a coin pays no dividends, so its return is a plain one. A call that a price will rise or fall is Within band when the move is smaller than 0.5% either way, and a result Within band counts as neither Correct nor Incorrect. An economic call is judged on the series it is about, as first published. Many of the channel’s calls are hedged, saying that a price could rise or will likely fall. A hedged call that still names a direction is checked like any other, and its quotation shows how it was put. A remark that gives no direction, or gives both, is never judged Correct or Incorrect. The rules are the same for every channel, and the methodology page gives them in full. If you think a call was misread, the corrections page says how to report it.
How these examples were chosen
The calls above were chosen on Oct 7, 2026 by one rule, applied to Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP in turn: the channel’s most recent call on the coin, in its own words, with a one-year verdict of Correct, and its most recent with a verdict of Incorrect. A call was passed over if a question about its reading was open; if its quoted words did not name the coin, or did not say plainly which way the price would go; if the words named a level, such as a new all-time high, and the record judges only the direction; if an automatic caption had garbled a word in them; if they spoke of the short term, or of a span of days, weeks or months; or if Callsight’s Bitcoin article already shows it. On that day no Solana call met the rule, and no XRP call with a verdict of Correct did. The forecast read out from someone else was added to show how such a call is listed. Every call is on the channel’s page.
Figures are computed by code from the same record as the rest of the site. This article was drafted with the help of AI tools and reviewed by a person before publication. It is not investment advice.