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Andrei Jikh's Bitcoin predictions, and what happened
By Callsight · Published Oct 7, 2026 · Updated Oct 12, 2026
Figures as of Nov 4, 2026. They change as new windows settle.
As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight has judged 51 of Andrei Jikh’s forecasts Correct or Incorrect at one year: 30 Correct and 21 Incorrect. On the 49 with a comparable base rate (how often the called move happened anyway), 57.1% were Correct, against a base rate of 41.7%. On Bitcoin: 6 Correct, 10 Incorrect, 1 Pending and 5 Not verifiable.
How often did Andrei Jikh’s forecasts come true?
Callsight counts 103 forecasts that Andrei Jikh made in his own words and checks each one at the same 6 windows, from 30 days to 5 years. The table shows every window, because a call can be Incorrect at three months and Correct at a year. Beside each hit rate is its base rate: how often the move he called happened anyway over a window that long, measured on the same calls.
| Window | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Hit rate | Base rate | Above the base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 22 | 27 | 1 | 44.9% (49) | 32.1% on 43 of 49 | +5.1 pts |
| 90 days | 24 | 27 | 1 | 47.1% (51) | 35.8% on 47 of 51 | +6.7 pts |
| 180 days | 26 | 23 | 4 | 53.1% (49) | 37.9% on 47 of 49 | +13.1 pts |
| 1 year | 30 | 21 | 7 | 58.8% (51) | 41.7% on 49 of 51 | +15.4 pts |
| 3 years | 20 | 14 | 28 | 58.8% (34) | 48.7% on 33 of 34 | +8.9 pts |
| 5 years | 0 | 0 | 74 | — | — | — |
The table counts a call he repeated on the same subject, in the same direction, within 90 days once, as the ranking does, so its counts are smaller than the call-by-call counts below. Every call, with its words and the verdict at each window, is on Andrei Jikh’s page.
What did Andrei Jikh predict for Bitcoin?
Callsight lists 44 calls on Bitcoin from his videos and counts 22 of them. The other 22 are forecasts he read out from someone else, shown with their source, or remarks of his own that the record leaves out, such as a position he says he already holds. Of the counted calls, 13 called for a higher price and 4 for a lower one, and 5 were of another kind, such as a comparison with another asset. He has 1 more counted call on other coins.
At one year, the counted Bitcoin calls stand at 6 Correct, 10 Incorrect, 1 still open and 5 that could not be checked. The calls for a higher price come to 5 Correct and 8 Incorrect, and those for a lower one to 1 Correct, 2 Incorrect and 1 still open. Every call on Bitcoin, from every channel, is on the Bitcoin page.
The record, which reads the one-year window and counts a repeated call once, has his crypto calls at 6 Correct and 6 Incorrect, a hit rate of 50.0% on 12. Measured on the same 12 calls, the base rate is 59.7%, a difference of −9.7 pts. With a base rate above half, the move these calls named happened more often than not over a year, whoever made the call. A sample of 12 is small, below the 20 decided calls a channel needs before it is ranked, and one call either way moves the rate by about 8.3 points. The table has every window:
| Window | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Hit rate | Base rate | Above the base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 6 | 6 | 0 | 50.0% (12) | 52.1% on 12 of 12 | −2.1 pts |
| 90 days | 6 | 6 | 0 | 50.0% (12) | 53.7% on 12 of 12 | −3.7 pts |
| 180 days | 6 | 6 | 0 | 50.0% (12) | 54.6% on 12 of 12 | −4.6 pts |
| 1 year | 6 | 6 | 1 | 50.0% (12) | 59.7% on 12 of 12 | −9.7 pts |
| 3 years | 3 | 3 | 10 | 50.0% (6) | 58.0% on 6 of 6 | −8.0 pts |
| 5 years | 0 | 0 | 18 | — | — | — |
This call names its own span, a year, which is also the window its headline is read at:
“for Bitcoin I think the next 12 months are going to be super interesting because Bitcoin tends to lag behind Gold's performance so first gold goes up and then Bitcoin goes up”Entry price (first close after the video)
$61,760
Sep 18, 2024
Price at close
$117,074
Sep 18, 2025
Return
+89.6%
S&P 500 +19.4%
BTC closed at $61,760 on Sep 18, 2024. On Sep 18, 2025 it closed at $117,074, a return of +89.6%. SPY returned +19.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Correct
90 days
Correct
180 days
Correct
1 year
Correct
And a more recent one:
“This also kind of sets up the president and his family to really benefit from owning hard assets, especially assets like Bitcoin, because hard assets will go up much more in the long term as a result of all of this.”Entry price (first close after the video)
$107,984
Jul 4, 2025
Price at close
$63,144
Jul 4, 2026
Return
−41.5%
S&P 500 +21.3%
BTC closed at $107,984 on Jul 4, 2025. On Jul 4, 2026 it closed at $63,144, a return of −41.5%. SPY returned +21.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Correct
90 days
Correct
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
This is a long-term call with no date in it, so the headline is the one-year window, where it is Incorrect. That verdict covers the first year only. The call’s windows at 3 years and 5 years are still open, and its page will show them as they settle.
Why can the same Bitcoin call be Incorrect at one year and Correct at three?
Each window checks the same call over a different span. The method makes the one-year window the headline for every call on the site, fixed in advance, so nobody can pick the window that reads best after the fact. Where the speaker named a date, the call is checked at that date as well, and the longer windows are shown beside the headline without replacing it.
This call put a price target on Bitcoin, and its card dates the deadline to the end of the year it was made:
“I think Bitcoin will hit $100,000 just like I said last time”Entry price (first close after the video)
$46,446
Jan 3, 2022
Price at close
$16,675
Jan 3, 2023
Return
−64.1%
BTC was $46,446 on Jan 3, 2022. The target was $100,000. Between then and Jan 3, 2023 the high was $48,190, so the level was not reached.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
At the deadline on its card, Dec 31, 2022, it is Incorrect, as it is at one year. At 3 years it is Correct: the price reached the target, but after that date. The headline stays the one-year verdict, and every window is on the call’s page.
A shorter window can also disagree with the year:
“it is my belief that the release of this etf marks a near bottom for bitcoin's price”Entry price (first close after the video)
$20,743
Jun 27, 2022
Price at close
$30,692
Jun 27, 2023
Return
+48.0%
S&P 500 +14.1%
BTC closed at $20,743 on Jun 27, 2022. On Jun 27, 2023 it closed at $30,692, a return of +48.0%. SPY returned +14.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Correct
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Correct
With no deadline stated, the headline is the one-year window, where it is Correct; at 90 days and 180 days it was Incorrect.
What did he say about the Fed, inflation and a recession?
Economic calls are the largest group in his record, 29 of the 51 calls decided at one year. They stand at 18 Correct and 11 Incorrect, a hit rate of 62.1% on 29. On the 27 of these 29 that have a comparable base rate, 59.3% were Correct, against a base rate of 29.8%, a difference of +29.5 pts.
An economic call’s base rate is how often the change it names happened over a window that long in the series’ own history. It does not reflect what markets expected on the day the call was made, which the method does not measure. A call on the Fed is Correct when the target rate moves at least 25 basis points the called way inside the window. In the rate’s history a move that size in one direction within a year is the less common outcome, so a Fed call’s base rate is below one half, and often well below it. On 29 calls, one call either way moves the rate by about 3.4 points.
16 of his counted calls are about the Fed’s rate, 15 about interest rates in general and 8 about inflation. At one year the Fed calls stand at 11 Correct, 2 Incorrect and 3 that could not be checked, the calls on rates in general at 2 Correct, 3 Incorrect and 10 that could not be checked, and those on inflation at 4 Correct, 2 Incorrect and 2 that could not be checked. Every call on the Fed’s rate, from every channel, is on the Fed rate page.
One of his calls on the Fed:
“these tariffs could be deflationary and it could cause the US economy to slow down enough to force the Fed to lower interest rates”Reading when said
4.5%
Apr 4, 2025
Reading at close
3.75%
Apr 4, 2026
Change
−0.75 pp
The policy rate was 4.50% at the start of the window and 3.75% on Apr 4, 2026, a net change of −0.75 pp. The largest cut inside the window was 75 basis points. The stated threshold was 25 basis points.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Correct
1 year
Correct
With no deadline stated, the headline is the one-year window, where it is Correct; at 30 days and 90 days it was Incorrect.
8 of his counted calls are about a recession, and all of them said one would come. A recession call is judged on the months the National Bureau of Economic Research dates as recession. When none falls inside the window, the verdict waits 15 months after the window closes, because the dating comes late. At one year, the calls saying one would come stand at 0 Correct, 6 Incorrect and 2 still open. Every recession call, from every channel, is on the recession page.
What did he say about the S&P 500?
11 of his counted calls are about SPY, the fund that tracks the S&P 500, and at one year they stand at 6 Correct, 2 Incorrect and 3 still open. In the record, his calls on shares and funds together stand at 6 Correct and 4 Incorrect at one year, a hit rate of 60.0% on 10. Measured on the same 10 calls, the base rate is 52.4%, a difference of +7.6 pts. A sample of 10 is small, below the 20 decided calls a channel needs before it is ranked, and one call either way moves the rate by about 10.0 points. Every call on the fund, from every channel, is on the SPY page.
Does Callsight track Andrei Jikh’s portfolio?
No. Callsight records what he predicts on air. A position he says he already holds is listed on his page and never scored. In all, 74 remarks of his own are listed but not counted, including calls whose direction is in doubt and kinds of call no rule judges. The 55 forecasts he read out from someone else, such as a fund manager’s Bitcoin target, are shown with their source and never counted for or against him.
How does Andrei Jikh compare with Graham Stephan?
At one year, Andrei Jikh’s forecasts were Correct 57.1% of the time, against a base rate of 41.7%, on 49 of 51 decided calls that have one. Graham Stephan’s were Correct 57.1% of the time, against a base rate of 47.2%, on 84 of 104 decided calls that have one. The difference from the base rate is +15.4 pts for Andrei Jikh and +10.0 pts for Graham Stephan. The comparison page puts their calls side by side, and the record of every tracked channel sets each one-year hit rate against its own base rate. Two other articles check Graham Stephan’s calls on housing and Joseph Carlson’s stock calls the same way. For the Bitcoin calls of every channel we track, side by side, see how accurate YouTubers’ Bitcoin predictions have been.
How was each forecast checked?
Each call is quoted word for word from the video and linked to the second it was said. A price call is measured from the first closing price after the video went public, and an economic call on the series it is about, as first published. The rules are the same for every channel, and the methodology page gives them in full. If you think a call was misread, the corrections page says how to report it.
How these examples were chosen
The calls shown here follow a fixed rule: settled at one year, from widely watched videos, on well-known instruments, recent where possible, and with at least one Correct and one Incorrect. A call whose recorded reading is being checked again is left out. Every call is listed on the channel's page.
Figures are computed by code from the same record as the rest of the site. This article was drafted with the help of AI tools and reviewed by a person before publication. It is not investment advice.