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Bitcoin predictions for 2025 vs reality: YouTubers' calls
By Callsight · Published Oct 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 12, 2026
Figures as of Nov 4, 2026. They change as new windows settle.
As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight has checked 57 calls judged on Bitcoin that three YouTube channels made in 2025, 51 of them Coin Bureau’s. At one year, call by call, Coin Bureau’s stand at 6 Correct, 32 Incorrect and 13 still open. Bitcoin closed 2025 at $87,648, after a high close of $124,659 on Oct 6, 2025.
What did YouTubers predict for Bitcoin in 2025?
In the videos read so far, three channels that Callsight tracks made calls in 2025, in their own words, that the method judges on Bitcoin. The record counts 51 from Coin Bureau, 4 from Andrei Jikh and 2 from Graham Stephan, 57 in all, each checked at one window at least. Of Coin Bureau’s 51, 20 are about crypto in general, which the method judges on Bitcoin; the other 31 name the coin. Of all of them, 48 said the price would rise and 9 that it would fall. Among them, 4 named a price in dollars. Another 5 counted calls could not be checked at any window, and each card says why. Left out of every figure here are 26 Bitcoin forecasts read out from someone else, such as a bank’s, each shown on its own page as read out and never counted for the channel, and 22 of the channels’ own remarks that the record does not score, such as a position already held or a call whose direction is in doubt.
Each channel’s page for the year lists its calls one by one: Coin Bureau in 2025, Andrei Jikh in 2025 and Graham Stephan in 2025. The Bitcoin page lists every call on the coin, from every year.
Did Bitcoin reach $150,000 in 2025?
No. In the site’s daily prices, Bitcoin’s highest price of 2025 was $126,200, on Oct 6, 2025, and its highest daily close $124,659, on Oct 6, 2025. It closed the year at $87,648, and its lowest close of the year was $76,322, on Apr 8, 2025. Its newest close in the data, on Nov 3, 2026, is $77,454.
No counted call of 2025 set a Bitcoin target of $150,000 or more; the highest counted target was $140,000, from Coin Bureau. One more call in Coin Bureau’s own words, on Jan 13, 2025, named $150,000; it is not scored under the published method, so it is in no figure here. The tracked channels also read out 20 forecasts of $150,000 or more from someone else in 2025. Each is shown on its own page as a forecast read out from someone else, in the words that were said, and is never counted for the channel that read it out.
Every price named in the channels’ counted calls of 2025, oldest first. A target above the price is Correct when the day’s high reaches it inside the window; a target below it, when the day’s low does.
- Coin Bureau, Feb 15, 2025: a rise to $140,000, Incorrect at one year.
- Coin Bureau, Aug 31, 2025: a fall to $70,000, Correct at one year.
- Coin Bureau, Nov 19, 2025: a rise to $100,000, its one-year window is still open; so far Incorrect at 180 days.
- Coin Bureau, Dec 10, 2025: a rise to $100,000, its one-year window is still open; so far Incorrect at 180 days.
How did the 2025 Bitcoin calls do at one year?
The table reads each call at one year, the window the method fixes in advance as the headline for every call. As in the ranking, calls on Bitcoin in the same direction inside one 90-day block count as one, and such a group belongs to the year in which it was first said. Calls made late in 2025 have not reached one year yet and sit under Pending, whatever a shorter window says about them.
| Channel | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Hit rate | Base rate | Above the base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coin Bureau | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | 52.2% on 7 of 7 | — |
| Andrei Jikh | 0 | 2 | 1 | — | 67.4% on 2 of 2 | — |
| Graham Stephan | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 49.8% on 2 of 2 | — |
Each channel’s calls of 2025 at one year, beside the base rate of the same calls:
- Coin Bureau: 3 Correct and 4 Incorrect, a repeated call counted once. The base rate of the same calls is 52.2%. With fewer than 20 decided calls, no hit rate is given.
- Andrei Jikh: 0 Correct and 2 Incorrect, a repeated call counted once. The base rate of the same calls is 67.4%. With fewer than 20 decided calls, no hit rate is given.
- Graham Stephan: 1 Correct and 1 Incorrect, a repeated call counted once. The base rate of the same calls is 49.8%. With fewer than 20 decided calls, no hit rate is given.
The base rate allows for the market’s own drift. For each call, it is the share of past spans of the same length, in Bitcoin’s own price history up to the day of the call, in which the price moved the way the call said. It does not adjust for the year that followed: every call here was made in the same market, and in the year after Bitcoin’s high close of Oct 6, 2025 a call for a rise had a harder test than Bitcoin’s history suggests, whoever made it. The same channels’ Bitcoin calls from every year are in the article on YouTubers’ Bitcoin price predictions.
What happened at 30 days, 90 days and 180 days?
Every call is also checked at shorter windows. The one-year result stays the headline, so no verdict is picked afterwards from the window that reads best. This table counts each call of 2025 at every window up to a year, repeats included, and gives no rate.
| Channel | Window | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coin Bureau | 30 days | 20 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 90 days | 20 | 29 | 0 | 2 | |
| 180 days | 17 | 34 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 year | 6 | 32 | 13 | 0 | |
| Andrei Jikh | 30 days | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 90 days | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 180 days | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 year | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Graham Stephan | 30 days | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 90 days | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 180 days | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 year | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Who predicted Bitcoin would fall in 2025?
Callsight checks a Bitcoin call on the direction its words named, not on whether a crash came, at the same fixed windows as every other call, from 30 days to 5 years. A call that the price will fall is Correct at a window when Bitcoin closes that window at least 0.5% below the entry price; a target below the price is Correct when the day’s low reaches it inside the window. The calls of 2025 for a lower price, at one year, repeats included:
- Coin Bureau: 7 calls, 6 Correct, 0 Incorrect and 1 still open.
- Andrei Jikh: 1 call, 0 Correct, 0 Incorrect and 1 still open.
- Graham Stephan: 1 call, 1 Correct and 0 Incorrect.
These are counts with no base rate beside them, so no rate is given for them.
How many of the 2025 price targets were reached?
The table counts every counted target of 2025 at one year, call by call. A deadline the speaker named is shown on the call’s own page, but it never enters these counts: every target is read at the same fixed windows, so that no window is picked after the fact.
| Channel | Targets | Reached within a year | Not reached | Pending | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coin Bureau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How often YouTube price targets are reached in general, by channel and by distance from the price, is in the article on price targets.
Which 2025 calls are still waiting for a one-year result?
14 of the 57 counted calls of 2025 have not reached their one-year window yet; they reach it between Nov 2026 and Dec 2026. The figures on this page change as they do, and each call’s own page shows its result the night it is known.
What about Ethereum and Solana in 2025?
The record counts 15 calls on Ethereum made in 2025, all from Coin Bureau. Of these, 7 are about altcoins in general, which the method judges on Ethereum; the other 8 name the coin. At one year, counting every call with its repeats, they stand at 4 Correct, 10 Incorrect and 1 still open. More in the article on Ethereum price predictions.
The record counts 8 calls on Solana made in 2025, all from Coin Bureau. At one year, counting every call with its repeats, they stand at 1 Correct, 6 Incorrect and 1 still open. More in the article on Solana price predictions.
What did the 2025 calls say?
Two of the calls follow, chosen by the rule at the end of this article. Each card links to the second the words were said and shows the result at every window up to a year.
“eventually BTC's rally will run out of
steam. And if Sailor's company starts to stumble, that could post a big risk to Bitcoin.”Entry price (first close after the video)
$114,559
Oct 26, 2025
Price at close
$80,151
Oct 26, 2026
Return
−30.0%
S&P 500 +12.9%
BTC closed at $114,559 on Oct 26, 2025. On Oct 26, 2026 it closed at $80,151, a return of −30.0%. SPY returned +12.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
30 days
Correct
90 days
Correct
180 days
Correct
1 year
Correct
No deadline was stated, so the headline is the one-year window, where it is Correct.
“put simply Bitcoin isn't going anywhere and its value is likely to keep rising over the
long term even if only because fiat currencies are losing purchasing power”Entry price (first close after the video)
$109,644
May 21, 2025
Price at close
$77,616
May 21, 2026
Return
−29.2%
S&P 500 +28.9%
BTC closed at $109,644 on May 21, 2025. On May 21, 2026 it closed at $77,616, a return of −29.2%. SPY returned +28.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Correct
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
The words speak of the long term, which names no date, so the headline is the one-year window, where it is Incorrect; its windows at 3 years and 5 years are still open.
How were these checked?
A language model finds the candidate calls in each video’s captions, but the words quoted here are cut from the captions themselves, never copied from the model, and whether a call came true is decided by code alone, from published prices, under the rules on the methodology page. A call’s entry price is the first daily close strictly after the video went public. It is then checked at six windows, from 30 days to 5 years; every window is shown, and the one-year window is the headline. A forecast a channel reads out from someone else, such as a bank’s target, is shown on its own page as read out, in the words that were said, and is never counted for the channel. If you think a call was misread, the corrections page says how to report it.
How these examples were chosen
The examples are chosen by one rule, applied to each channel: its most recent Bitcoin call of 2025 in its own words with a one-year verdict of Correct, and its most recent with a verdict of Incorrect. A call is passed over if its words do not name Bitcoin, if it compares Bitcoin with another asset, if its words set a span shorter than the one-year headline, such as the coming months, if its reading has been questioned before, or if another article on this site already shows it. A channel with no such call shows none; this time, Andrei Jikh and Graham Stephan have none. Every call is listed on each channel’s page for the year and on the Bitcoin page.
Figures are computed by code from the same record as the rest of the site. This article was drafted with the help of AI tools and reviewed by a person before publication. It is not investment advice.