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How accurate are crypto YouTubers? Three channels, checked
By Callsight · Published Oct 11, 2026 · Updated Oct 11, 2026
Figures as of Nov 4, 2026. They change as new windows settle.
As of Nov 4, 2026, at one year, the crypto calls of each of the three YouTube channels in Callsight’s record came true less often than their base rate: Coin Bureau 44.1% of 118 (base rate 53.0%), Andrei Jikh 50.0% of 12 (59.7%) and Graham Stephan 37.5% of 8 (50.0%). For Andrei Jikh and Graham Stephan that rests on 12 and 8 calls, where one call either way moves the rate by 8.3 and 12.5 points. Coin Bureau made 419 of the 457 counted calls. These are three channels, not crypto YouTubers in general.
How often do crypto YouTubers’ calls come true?
Callsight tracks four finance YouTube channels, and three of them have made calls on coins in their own words. The record counts 419 from Coin Bureau, 23 from Andrei Jikh and 15 from Graham Stephan. Of these, 87 are about crypto or altcoins in general, judged on Bitcoin or Ethereum; the coin table keeps them apart. Callsight does not track the many other crypto channels on YouTube, so this record cannot say how accurate crypto YouTubers are in general.
The table gives each channel’s crypto calls at 30 days, 1 year and 3 years, with the figures its own page shows. Beside each hit rate is the base rate: how often the move a call named happened anyway over a span that long, in that coin’s own price history up to the day of the call. When most of those spans were rising ones, a call for a rise starts with a high base rate and a call for a fall with a low one, so a hit rate says little until it is set beside the base rate of the same calls.
| Channel | Window | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Hit rate | Base rate | Above the base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coin Bureau | 30 days | 58 | 77 | 0 | 43.0% (135) | 50.3%On the 131 of 135 calls that have a base rate: 42.7% correct, base rate 50.3% | −7.6 pts |
| 1 year | 58 | 72 | 39 | 44.6% (130) | 53.0%On the 118 of 130 calls that have a base rate: 44.1% correct, base rate 53.0% | −8.9 pts | |
| 3 years | 34 | 30 | 226 | 53.1% (64) | 51.2%On the 32 of 64 calls that have a base rate: 56.3% correct, base rate 51.2% | +5.0 pts | |
| Andrei Jikh | 30 days | 6 | 6 | 0 | 50.0% (12)fewer than 20 calls | 52.1%on 12 of 12 calls | −2.1 pts |
| 1 year | 6 | 6 | 1 | 50.0% (12)fewer than 20 calls | 59.7%on 12 of 12 calls | −9.7 pts | |
| 3 years | 3 | 3 | 10 | 50.0% (6)fewer than 20 calls | 58.0%on 6 of 6 calls | −8.0 pts | |
| Graham Stephan | 30 days | 5 | 5 | 0 | 50.0% (10)fewer than 20 calls | 54.0%on 10 of 10 calls | −4.0 pts |
| 1 year | 3 | 7 | 0 | 30.0% (10)fewer than 20 calls | 50.0%On the 8 of 10 calls that have a base rate: 37.5% correct, base rate 50.0% | −12.5 pts | |
| 3 years | 5 | 3 | 2 | 62.5% (8)fewer than 20 calls | 55.0%On the 5 of 8 calls that have a base rate: 60.0% correct, base rate 55.0% | +5.0 pts |
Which crypto YouTuber is the most accurate?
This article sets the three channels side by side and ranks none of them. Coin Bureau made 419 of the 457 counted calls, and Andrei Jikh and Graham Stephan each have fewer than the 20 decided crypto calls at one year that the record page needs before it ranks a channel.
At one year, every channel’s crypto calls were Correct less often than the base rate of the same calls: Coin Bureau by 8.9 points on 118 calls, Andrei Jikh by 9.7 points on 12 and Graham Stephan by 12.5 points on 8. On so few calls, one call either way moves a rate by 8.3 points for Andrei Jikh and 12.5 points for Graham Stephan.
The one-year window is the headline, fixed in advance so that nobody can pick, after the fact, the window that reads best. At 30 days, the calls of every channel stand below their base rate as well: Coin Bureau by 7.6 points on 131 calls, Andrei Jikh by 2.1 points on 12 and Graham Stephan by 4.0 points on 10. On so few calls, one call either way moves a rate by 8.3 points for Andrei Jikh and 10.0 points for Graham Stephan. At 3 years, the calls stand above their base rate for Coin Bureau (5.0 points, on 32 calls) and Graham Stephan (5.0 points, on 5), and below it for Andrei Jikh (8.0 points, on 6). On so few calls, one call either way moves a rate by 16.7 points for Andrei Jikh and 20.0 points for Graham Stephan. Most calls are too recent for a result at 3 years: 226 of Coin Bureau’s calls are still open there.
A hit rate says whether a call came true, not by how much. The record also measures each price call’s return against a benchmark over the same days: the S&P 500 for Bitcoin and Ethereum, and Bitcoin for every other coin. At one year, the 95% range of every channel’s average on crypto calls runs from below zero to above it, so none can be told apart from its benchmark: Coin Bureau −6.7 points on 106 price calls (−22.5 to +9.2), Andrei Jikh +3.3 points on 12 (−22.5 to +29.1) and Graham Stephan −20.1 points on 10 (−47.1 to +6.9).
Three of the calls behind these figures follow, one from each channel, chosen by the rule at the end of this article. None is about Bitcoin, which has an article of its own.
“it's likely that his favorite crypto Dogecoin could enjoy some nice upwards price movement thanks to his actions”Entry price (first close after the video)
$0.16727
Mar 21, 2025
Price at close
$0.09135
Mar 21, 2026
Return
−45.4%
Bitcoin −18.0%
DOGE closed at $0.16727 on Mar 21, 2025. On Mar 21, 2026 it closed at $0.09135, a return of −45.4%. BTC returned −18.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Correct
180 days
Correct
1 year
Incorrect
No deadline was stated, so the headline is the one-year window, where it is Incorrect. At 90 days and 180 days it was Correct.
“Which also means that the price of Ethereum will definitely go up.”Entry price (first close after the video)
$3,520
Apr 4, 2022
Price at close
$1,870
Apr 4, 2023
Return
−46.9%
S&P 500 −9.0%
ETH closed at $3,520 on Apr 4, 2022. On Apr 4, 2023 it closed at $1,870, a return of −46.9%. SPY returned −9.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
No deadline was stated, so the headline is the one-year window, where it is Incorrect, as at every shorter window.
“just as quickly as it could go up it can and will go back down just as people bought in gamestop at 450 a share and subsequently lost 65 of their investment people will lose money on dogecoin if they don't know what they're doing”Entry price (first close after the video)
$0.365443
Apr 16, 2021
Price at close
$0.1435
Apr 16, 2022
Return
−60.7%
Bitcoin −34.2%
DOGE closed at $0.365443 on Apr 16, 2021. On Apr 16, 2022 it closed at $0.1435, a return of −60.7%. BTC returned −34.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Correct
180 days
Correct
1 year
Correct
No deadline was stated, so the headline is the one-year window, where it is Correct. At 30 days it was Incorrect.
Which coins do crypto YouTubers call most?
Bitcoin is the most called coin for every channel. Of Coin Bureau’s 419 counted crypto calls, 190 are judged on Bitcoin’s price: 128 name the coin, and 62 are about crypto in general, which the method judges on Bitcoin. For Andrei Jikh it is 22 of 23, and for Graham Stephan it is 11 of 15. A call about altcoins in general is judged on Ethereum in the same way. The methodology page lists these words and the coin each is judged on, and the table keeps such calls apart from those that name the coin.
The table lists every coin that at least one channel called 10 or more times, with each call’s verdict at one year. It gives no rate, because no base rate is read for a single coin’s calls here.
| Coin | Channel | Counted calls | Correct | Incorrect | Pending | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) | Coin Bureau | 128 | 45 | 52 | 15 | 16 |
| Andrei Jikh | 20 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 4 | |
| Graham Stephan | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | |
| Ethereum (ETH) | Coin Bureau | 65 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| Andrei Jikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crypto in general, judged on BTC | Coin Bureau | 62 | 18 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| Andrei Jikh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Solana (SOL) | Coin Bureau | 31 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 11 |
| Altcoins in general, judged on ETH | Coin Bureau | 22 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| Graham Stephan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| SUI | Coin Bureau | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
Coin Bureau’s other 101 counted calls are spread over 47 more coins, none called more than 7 times. Graham Stephan’s other 3 counted calls are on Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB). Every coin called here has a page that lists each call on it, linked from the coins page. Three coins have an article of their own: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana.
Are crypto price targets reached?
A price target names a level. It counts as reached when the day’s high touches it inside the window, or the day’s low for a target below the price. The window is the deadline the speaker named, or one year when none was named. As in the article on price targets, a target said again inside one 90-day block at about the same distance from the price counts once.
| Channel | Targets | Reached | Not reached | Still open | Not verifiable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coin Bureau | 82 | 25 | 35 | 3 | 19 |
| Andrei Jikh | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Graham Stephan | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Coin Bureau set 63 targets on coins that a rule could test: 25 were reached and 35 were not, with 3 still open. Andrei Jikh set three: none was reached. Graham Stephan set one: it was not reached. These are counts with no base rate, so no rate is given. A target can still be reached after its window, and each call’s page shows the windows at 3 years and 5 years.
One of Coin Bureau’s targets follows, chosen by the rule at the end of this article: the most recent on a coin other than Bitcoin that was reached within a year. On Oct 11, 2026, none of the channel’s targets that were not reached passed every test of that rule.
“it looks like Pendle will fall to around $5 before deciding where it wants to go next”Entry price (first close after the video)
$6.03
Jun 24, 2024
Price at close
$3.55
Jun 24, 2025
Return
−41.2%
PENDLE was $6.03 on Jun 24, 2024. The target was $5.00. Between then and Jun 24, 2025 the low was $1.81, so the level was reached.
30 days
Correct
90 days
Correct
180 days
Correct
1 year
Correct
No deadline was stated, so the target is read at one year, where it is Correct. The price first reached the level inside 30 days.
Can you trust crypto YouTubers?
Whom to trust is for the reader to decide, and nothing on this page is investment advice. The record answers a narrower question. At one year, the crypto calls of all three channels came true less often than their base rate, and for Andrei Jikh and Graham Stephan that rests on 12 and 8 calls.
The record counts only what a channel said in its own words. A forecast read out from someone else, such as a bank’s target, is listed with its source and counted for no one; the channels read out 91 such forecasts on coins. Another 121 of the channels’ own remarks on coins are held out of every figure, each with its reason on the card, such as a position already held, a livestream whose date is in doubt or a direction in doubt. A call made inside a sponsored segment is held out the same way. On Oct 11, 2026, 117 of the counted calls, 112 of them Coin Bureau’s, had an open question about how they were read; they stay in every figure, as on each channel’s page, until a person decides.
Each channel’s page lists every call in the words that were said, linked to the second, with its verdict at each window: Coin Bureau, Andrei Jikh and Graham Stephan. The record page’s crypto view sets the channels’ crypto records side by side, and the comparison pages set two channels’ calls against each other. Two articles look at single channels: Coin Bureau’s price predictions and Andrei Jikh’s Bitcoin predictions. Another asks whether finance YouTubers beat the market, on every subject the channels cover.
How was this measured?
Each call is quoted word for word from the video and linked to the second it was said. Its entry price is the first daily close after the video went public. It is then checked at six windows, from 30 days to 5 years, and the one-year window is the headline. A call that a price will rise or fall is Within band when the move is smaller than 0.5% either way, and counts as neither Correct nor Incorrect. A call about crypto or altcoins in general is judged on Bitcoin or Ethereum. A forecast read out from someone else is never counted. Once a window has closed, its verdict is frozen: it changes only under a new version of a rule, which keeps the old verdict on record, or after an upheld correction. The rules are the same for every channel, and the methodology page gives them in full. If you think a call was misread, the corrections page says how to report it.
How these examples were chosen
The calls were chosen on Oct 11, 2026 by a fixed rule. For each channel, it took the most recent call in the channel’s own words that a coin other than Bitcoin would rise or fall, with a one-year verdict of Correct or Incorrect. For the targets, it took Coin Bureau’s most recent target on a coin other than Bitcoin that was reached within a year, and its most recent that was not; none that was not reached passed the tests below. The other channels have no testable target on a coin other than Bitcoin. A call was passed over if its reading is being checked again, if its quoted words do not name the coin or do not say which way the price will go, if they name a level, such as a new all-time high, that the record judges on the direction alone, if they give only a possibility, or if they set a span other than a year, such as the short term, the long term, a cycle top or a number of weeks. A call followed at once by a caveat the other way was passed over too. Of two calls in one video, the one said later counts as the more recent. The rule gave two Correct and two Incorrect. Every call is listed on its channel’s page.
Figures are computed by code from the same record as the rest of the site. This article was drafted with the help of AI tools and reviewed by a person before publication. It is not investment advice.