Why: 30 days
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 294.7 in December 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and January 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −0.7%, in January 2023. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 90 days
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 294.7 in December 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and March 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −0.7%, in January 2023. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 180 days
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 294.7 in December 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and June 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −0.7%, in January 2023. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 1 year
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 294.7 in December 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and December 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −0.7%, in December 2023. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 3 years
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 294.7 in December 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and December 2025, its deepest fall from a running peak was −1.2%, in December 2025. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Dec 11, 2027.
