“since 1955, the unemployment rate has never held below 3 1.5% for more than a year.”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
Said on Sep 19, 2022, at 8:06 in the video.
“since 1955, the unemployment rate has never held below 3 1.5% for more than a year.”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
Unemployment rate: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
within their career, and wants to make more money, it's often better to do a little bit more than expected. And by doing so, you'll make a lasting impact and stand out over the competition. In addition to that, it also serves as a safety net in the event we see a severe recession with mass layoffs. Because like it or not, throughout recessions, we tend to see a complete contraction across the entire economy, including job losses. I would take this extremely seriously because even though it's easy to quietly quit while unemployment is at an all-time low, since 1955, the unemployment rate has never held below 3 1.5% for more than a year. So, even though quiet quitting could give you a better work life balance temporarily, it also comes at the cost of probably being the first to get cut in the event of a downsize, especially when 74% of your colleagues are still doing more than what's expected. At the same time, though, not everything is the responsibility of the employee and employers also have to be held accountable to make sure their employees are treated fairly, compensated appropriately, and make sure their work is appreciated. Now, that doesn't mean that everyone gets a participation
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Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“rising interest rates at the same time that the labor market is cooling usually results in hiring freezes.”
Aug 10, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Unemployment will rise to 10%
“Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Unemployment — no direction stated
“and then we've also got the unemployment numbers at 4.2% expected versus 4.2 to previous okay okay”
Jun 2, 2025
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Unemployment will fall to 4%
“it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target”
Sep 25, 2024
Coin BureauUnemploymentwill fall
“this means that unemployment could actually start falling again in the not to distant future”
Sep 25, 2024 · after 1 year
Coin BureauUnemploymentwill rise
“it looks like the decline in jobs is going to keep pushing unemployment higher and trigger a recession at least according to the S”
Aug 11, 2024 · after 1 year