What was said
“Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%.”Watch at 0:04The AI Collapse Is MUCH Worse Than You Think
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Unemployment will rise to 10%
Said on Feb 27, 2026, at 0:04 in the video.
The window it was checked over
UnemploymentWindow checkedTarget namedRecession (NBER)
Unemployment rate: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
What's up you guys? It's Graham here. And if you have any money in the markets whatsoever, you're going to want to hear this. Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%. Trillions of wealth is going to be wiped out in less than 2 years. And all of those safe mortgages will finally start falling into foreclosure. How? Well, Socionomic Research just revealed what they believe is a realistic warning for our economy over these next few years. And I have to say, it is shocking. Not just because it sounds dramatic, but because the logic is incredibly convincing. That's why we need to talk about exactly what's happening, why some of the smartest people in the world believe that this
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Unemployment
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“rising interest rates at the same time that the labor market is cooling usually results in hiring freezes.”
Aug 10, 2026
Not scored
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Unemployment — no direction stated
“and then we've also got the unemployment numbers at 4.2% expected versus 4.2 to previous okay okay”
Jun 2, 2025
Relayed
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Unemployment will fall to 4%
“it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target”
Sep 25, 2024
Relayed
Coin BureauUnemploymentwill fall
“this means that unemployment could actually start falling again in the not to distant future”
Sep 25, 2024 · after 1 year
Incorrect
Coin BureauUnemploymentwill rise
“it looks like the decline in jobs is going to keep pushing unemployment higher and trigger a recession at least according to the S”
Aug 11, 2024 · after 1 year
Within band
Coin BureauUnemploymentwill rise to 4%
“this means that in a few months time unemployment could be well above the first four percent Target”
Sep 4, 2023 · after 1 year
Correct