Why: 30 days
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 307.4 in July 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and August 2022, its deepest fall from a running peak was −1.2%, in August 2022. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 90 days
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 307.4 in July 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and October 2022, its deepest fall from a running peak was −2.8%, in October 2022. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 180 days
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 307.4 in July 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and January 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −4.8%, in January 2023. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 1 year
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 307.4 in July 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and July 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −4.8%, in January 2023. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 3 years
The house price index (CSUSHPINSA, first releases) stood at 307.4 in July 2022, the figure at the start of the window. Between then and July 2025, its deepest fall from a running peak was −4.8%, in January 2023. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a housing crash, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that no housing crash would come.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 7, 2027.