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Graham Stephan: House prices — around 5%

Said on Jul 18, 2018, at 12:10 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“otherwise you're gonna have to spend another year of looking to find something similar to that where maybe the market went up five percent and all of a sudden that few grand you spend is nothing”
Watch at 12:10The ULTIMATE Beginner's Guide to Investing in Real Estate Step-By-Step
PredictionHouse prices— around 5%Checked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 5.8% year on year in Jul 2018 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 5.0%.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 5.8% year on year in Jul 2018 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 5.0%.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 5.8% year on year in Jul 2018 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 5.0%.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 5.8% year on year in Jul 2018 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 5.0%.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 5.8% year on year in Jul 2018 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 5.0%.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 5.8% year on year in Jul 2018 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 5.0%.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 5.8% year on year in Jul 2018 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 5.0%.

What was said around it

offers to the point where you will overpay for something that's just not worth it however don't be stubborn don't be an idiot and look at this with a long-term outlook over the next 20 or 30 years overpaying by a few thousand dollars to get the absolutely perfect property is going to be worth it you're not gonna look back thirty years from now and be like I only spent five grand in that property it wasn't worth it no if overspending by a few thousand dollars is going to get you the perfect place then otherwise you're gonna have to spend another year of looking to find something similar to that where maybe the market went up five percent and all of a sudden that few grand you spend is nothing go ahead and overspend on that property buy a few thousand dollars knowing that in the bigger picture it's going to be worth it don't be penny wise dollar foolish to pass up otherwise the perfect deal just because you get stubborn with it and think you're this you and think that another deal will just magically pop up a few days later it's more important to find the right property at a fair price than it is to wait years potentially to find the unicorn of a deal that you could buy at a steal because

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed