Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Jul 15, 2026, at 9:09 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”
Watch at 9:09BREAKING: China’s ENTIRE Housing Market Just Collapsed
PredictionHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figuresby Dec 31, 2026
What happened
Relayed

Attributed to Reuters poll of analysts — not scored

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

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Attributed to Reuters poll of analysts — not scored

What was said around it

evaporated. And what's scary is that it's not stopping. It's getting worse. Like, 70 of their major cities fell another 3 and 1/2% year-over-year in May, and other areas are down more than 10%. Well, construction has collapsed a whopping 22%. That's the equivalent of basically losing their entire GDP in a matter of a year. And now, even though it seems helpless, Beijing is trying to stop the collapse. And they've approved a 7 trillion yuan white list program to finish stalled projects. They've cut mortgage rates, and they've lowered down payments. But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027. On top of that, this doesn't just affect the housing market, either. Remember, when most Chinese citizens have their wealth tied up in property, a loss here often results in a decline in spending and loss of confidence. And that results in a deflationary spiral of their currency as people hoard onto cash for fear of spending anything. This means that when real estate is tied to roughly 15% of all employment in China and land sales make up 40% of all local government revenue, you not only get a housing shock, but you also get a wealth shock,

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