Said on Mar 30, 2022, at 12:02 in the video.
“i also operate under the assumption that eventually we will have a recession it is unavoidable at some point our economy will enter into a recession”No recession is dated between Mar 30, 2022 and Mar 30, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Apr 29, 2022 | — | — |
| 90 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Jun 28, 2022 | — | — |
| 180 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Sep 26, 2022 | — | — |
| 1 yearR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Mar 30, 2023 | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Mar 29, 2025 | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Pending | — | —Mar 29, 2027 | — | — |
No recession is dated between Mar 30, 2022 and Apr 29, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Mar 30, 2022 and Jun 28, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Mar 30, 2022 and Sep 26, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Mar 30, 2022 and Mar 30, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Mar 30, 2022 and Mar 29, 2025. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
The window is still open. The result is due after Mar 29, 2027.
unknown third party that hires gig workers now moving on we have another subject of recessions there's been a lot of chatter online about the upcoming recession i'm sure you've heard about it the inverted yield curve the high inflation that typically precedes recessions the increasing interest rates all of this stuff increases the chance of recession now i'm firmly in the camp that predicting a recession is very difficult most people will be inaccurate and i don't think it's something that you should worry about predicting but i also operate under the assumption that eventually we will have a recession it is unavoidable at some point our economy will enter into a recession and so every investment i make is one that i don't only want to survive a recession but i want it to actually flourish during a recession when i look at restaurants and the type of companies that will do well during recessions i think it will be the ones that offer the cheapest product the most convenience and the value proposition will go very far i look at pizza as one of the better categories because i think that pizza feeds a lot of people for cheap if you order one eight dollar or ten dollar domino's pizza you can feed
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Andrei JikhRecessionwill happen
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
Mar 16, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Recession will rise
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying JPMorgan: a call under review
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
Dec 24, 2025
Coin Bureaua call under review
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
Nov 11, 2025
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
Sep 2, 2025
Coin BureauRecessionwill fall
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
Aug 2, 2025 · after 1 year
