Coin Bureau: Recession will fall

The window it was checked over

NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

What was said around it

Labor Statistics website. You can   track the Fed's decisions on its website. And  you can track the market's expectations of these   data points on Market Watch and the CME Fed Watch  tool. We'll leave a few links in the description,   don't worry. Now, bearish fiscal policy catalysts  are primarily centered around reducing government   spending. Fortunately, or perhaps unfortunately,  this seems extremely unlikely to happen as   governments need to continue spending for reasons  that are outside the scope of this video. The good   news in this case is that it means liquidity is  likely to continue rising indefinitely and that   it will be very hard to have a recession.  In the words of macro analyst Lynn Alden,   nothing stops this train. And it's important to  note too because everyone continues to be focused   on the Fed. With fiscal policy being the primary  driver of liquidity growth, monetary policy has   taken a backseat. Everyone seems to forget this,  so try to remember it. The Fed still matters,   but it's not nearly as important as it once was.  So don't go crazy over Fed cuts and quantitative   easing. Anyhow, there are many ways you can  analyze government spending. One way

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.