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Graham Stephan: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Jul 17, 2019, at 13:55 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“I found an area here in Los Angeles that I believe is extremely undervalued so my plan is to buy a property like that that I can really renovate and fix up and make it look amazing and then I'm gonna move in for a few years and just watch the values increase hopefully over time”
Watch at 13:55How I spend my $163,800 per month income
PredictionHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figuresChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a local market; this rule reads national US figures only.

What was said around it

everything I make is just like out of sight out of mind I don't see it it just gets invested and and that's what it is and finally let me answer two questions that came up a lot in my last video number one is what is my plan for all of the money and where am I going to be investing it well first I'm planning to use a significant amount of that money to put a down payment on a property in West Los Angeles I have always wanted a house with a pool and a view and I found an area here in Los Angeles that I believe is extremely undervalued so my plan is to buy a property like that that I can really renovate and fix up and make it look amazing and then I'm gonna move in for a few years and just watch the values increase hopefully over time and then at a certain point I'm gonna find another deal so that I can rent out the one that I just bought and then do that again with another one the other part of that money is going to be going towards broad index funds that way I'm not too concentrated in one asset class of just real estate and I get a little bit more diversification and as far as why I'm not using this money to pay down my mortgages I will just save that for another video the second question

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed