Said on Dec 28, 2022, at 1:22 in the video.
“the chances of a 2023 recession are getting Greater by the day with interest rates still increasing”No recession is dated between Dec 28, 2022 and Dec 28, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Jan 27, 2023 | — | — |
| 90 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Mar 28, 2023 | — | — |
| 180 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Jun 26, 2023 | — | — |
| 1 yearR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Dec 28, 2023 | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Pending | — | —Dec 27, 2025 | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Pending | — | —Dec 27, 2027 | — | — |
No recession is dated between Dec 28, 2022 and Jan 27, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Dec 28, 2022 and Mar 28, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Dec 28, 2022 and Jun 26, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Dec 28, 2022 and Dec 28, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
The window is still open. The result is due after Dec 27, 2025.
The window is still open. The result is due after Dec 27, 2027.
I'll stop asking so thank you guys so much much and also big thank you to Rocket money for sponsoring this video but more on that later alright so what makes this year so much different from the last is that we're finally facing the repercussions of higher interest rates skyrocketing inflation and declining fundamentals to the point where investing is no longer easy for example consumers are only spending more money because they're eating away at their savings Mass layoffs are only getting more common with investors sitting on the sidelines and the chances of a 2023 recession are getting Greater by the day with interest rates still increasing so it's a lot like navigating a Minefield of obstacles just to try to find the best way not to lose money in addition to that for a lot of newer investors 2022 was probably the first year you've ever experienced a substantial loss after getting accustomed to random stocks going up 20 to 50 in the day because they had a good press release so now that the markets are beginning to at least somewhat normalized here's my own investing blueprint throughout the next year that I believe should hold up fairly well even if the overall Market continues to
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Andrei JikhRecessionwill happen
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
Mar 16, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Recession will rise
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying JPMorgan: a call under review
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
Dec 24, 2025
Coin Bureaua call under review
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
Nov 11, 2025
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
Sep 2, 2025
Coin BureauRecessionwill fall
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
Aug 2, 2025 · after 1 year
