Coin Bureau: Recession will happen

Said on Oct 17, 2023, at 11:26 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“if history is any indication however it's not a question of if but when we'll see a recession the authors of this report seem to agree”
Watch at 11:26CRYPTO Market Predictions! This Report Tells What Happens NEXT!!
PredictionRecessionwill happenChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

No recession is dated between Oct 17, 2023 and Oct 16, 2024. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

RecessionWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−0.200.20.40.60.811.2202020212022202320242025Said on Oct 17, 2023
−0.500.511.52020202220232025Said on Oct 17, 2023

NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-REC v4Incorrect——Nov 16, 2023——
90 daysR-MACRO-REC v4Incorrect——Jan 15, 2024——
180 daysR-MACRO-REC v4Incorrect——Apr 14, 2024——
1 yearR-MACRO-REC v4Incorrect——Oct 16, 2024——
3 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4Pending——Oct 16, 2026——
5 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4Pending——Oct 15, 2028——
Why: 30 days

No recession is dated between Oct 17, 2023 and Nov 16, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.

Why: 90 days

No recession is dated between Oct 17, 2023 and Jan 15, 2024. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.

Why: 180 days

No recession is dated between Oct 17, 2023 and Apr 14, 2024. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.

Why: 1 year

No recession is dated between Oct 17, 2023 and Oct 16, 2024. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.

Why: 3 years

The window is still open. The result is due after Oct 16, 2026.

Why: 5 years

The window is still open. The result is due after Oct 15, 2028.

What was said around it

that housing prices will stay high based on our admittedly amateur understanding of the US housing market it's one of the markets least likely to see a downturn due to higher interest rates that's simply because most us homeowners have locked in a fixed interest rate for 30 years 70% to be exact another 10% have locked in for 15 years specifics aside the authors note that the combination of declining inflation and strong economic growth is increasing expectations of a soft Landing AKA no recession because of high interest rates if history is any indication however it's not a question of if but when we'll see a recession the authors of this report seem to agree and conclude with a sobering Insight quote potential challenges in the year's concluding months include the ongoing United Auto Workers strike resumption of student loan repayments heightened energy costs and persistently High interest rates you can add a potential regional conflict in the Middle East to that list more about that in the description now in the final part of the report the authors go over a few key crypto headlines which you've probably heard by now recall that this report was published in the first week of October

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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