Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will fall

Said on Jan 29, 2026, at 9:03 in the video.

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%202320232024202520262027Said on Jan 29, 2026
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%2023202420252027Said on Jan 29, 2026

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

leads   Bitcoin by roughly 3 to 7 months. Now, think  back to 2020, for example. Gold hit an all-time   high in August 2020. Bitcoin didn't start its  parabolic run until late Q4 of that year. The lag   is real. If this cycle holds, Bitcoin's current  stagnation isn't a sign of death. It's simply a   timing mismatch. The massive rally in gold and  silver that began in late 2025 could be setting   the stage for a violent Bitcoin breakout in Q2  of this year. Why Q2? Well, uh that's because   that is when the macro environment is expected  to shift. Right now, the market is pricing in the   Federal Reserve resuming rate cuts around June  2026. When rates come down, liquidity expands,   and when liquidity expands, capital rotates out of  defensive havens like gold into faster horses like   Bitcoin. The current divergence is frustrating,  yes, but it is also mathematically consistent   with previous cycles. And here is the news flash  that bears are ignoring. While retail investors   are panic selling because Bitcoin dropped 30%,  larger investors have been buying the dip. And   one example here has been Strategy. During the  so-called weakness of Q4 2025, Strategy didn't   sell. They accumulated

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