Said on Jun 15, 2026, at 14:43 in the video.
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.
30 days
Not verifiable
90 days
Not verifiable
180 days
Not verifiable
1 year
Not verifiable
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 90 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 180 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 1 yearR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.
Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.
Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.
Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.
Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.
Not verifiable: no direction stated. The claim does not say whether the policy rate will be cut or raised.
It's bad news because a strong economy with high inflation means rates have to stay high or go higher. You can't have a strong economy and then start to lower rates. It's like adding gasoline to the fire. You want to have a balance. So, if Kevin Warsh stays hawkish, aka rates stay the same, and that's how he talks about it, expect stocks to follow gold and Bitcoin most likely lower. Now, here's what makes this meeting sort of interesting. Remember, 97.4% of the market already expects no change to the rates on Wednesday. So, the rate decision itself is not the news. I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing. The news is what Kevin Warsh signals, subtly or not subtly, about the future. Every word of his press conference on Wednesday is going to be looked at by every trader on Wall Street. They're going to be hyper-analytical about every word. And I think the market's reaction in the after hours is going to tell us a lot more than anything than what he actually says. Now, for now, just understand that's most likely what Kevin Warsh's plan will be. And then for now, it's also on pause. Right, in order for it to come back to life, one thing has to happen first. It's that
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“I'm definitely not betting on lower interest rates coming anytime soon, and I'm definitely not over-leveraging on anything that's dependent on interest rates coming down anytime in the next 12 months.”
May 21, 2026
