Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise

Said on Jun 17, 2026, at 15:23 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Watch at 15:23BREAKING: The FED Cancels ALL Rate Cuts - Market Selloff Has Begun!
PredictionFed policy ratewill riseby Dec 31, 2026
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

Fed policy rateWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%202320242025202520262027Said on Jun 17, 2026
3.5%4%4.5%5%5.5%6%2023202420262027Said on Jun 17, 2026

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

market's pretty much confirming that we're unlikely going to see any rate cuts anytime soon. In fact, they've just indicated a potential rate hike sometime this year, and that interest rates are expected to remain much more elevated than all of us were expecting. On top of that, today's the day where we get what's called the summary of economic projections, which basically forecasts where the entire Federal Reserve thinks our economy is heading over the next few years. And in terms of what they just said, like I mentioned earlier, they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again. And funny enough, one of the ways that we can tell where the market's heading in the future is based on what's called the dot plot where every voting member gives the public full transparency as to what they think is best for the economy. But wouldn't you know it, Kevin Warsh wants to get rid of the dot plot entirely under the impression that the Fed should signal less and do more. Effectively meaning that we would all

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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