“Right now, the market is pricing in the Federal Reserve resuming rate cuts around June
2026.”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ giảm
Được nói ngày 29/01/2026, tại 9:03 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
leads Bitcoin by roughly 3 to 7 months. Now, think back to 2020, for example. Gold hit an all-time high in August 2020. Bitcoin didn't start its parabolic run until late Q4 of that year. The lag is real. If this cycle holds, Bitcoin's current stagnation isn't a sign of death. It's simply a timing mismatch. The massive rally in gold and silver that began in late 2025 could be setting the stage for a violent Bitcoin breakout in Q2 of this year. Why Q2? Well, uh that's because that is when the macro environment is expected to shift. Right now, the market is pricing in the Federal Reserve resuming rate cuts around June 2026. When rates come down, liquidity expands, and when liquidity expands, capital rotates out of defensive havens like gold into faster horses like Bitcoin. The current divergence is frustrating, yes, but it is also mathematically consistent with previous cycles. And here is the news flash that bears are ignoring. While retail investors are panic selling because Bitcoin dropped 30%, larger investors have been buying the dip. And one example here has been Strategy. During the so-called weakness of Q4 2025, Strategy didn't sell. They accumulated
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất chính sách Fed
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
03/09/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
17/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suất chính sách Fed— không nêu hướng
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
15/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảm
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
01/06/2026 · sau 90 ngày
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
26/05/2026
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
26/05/2026