“the report also suggests that the job market could take years until it returns back to normal”Graham Stephan, relaying another source: a call with no clear direction
Said on Jun 15, 2020, at 8:21 in the video.
The window it was checked over
Unemployment rate: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Result at every window
All windows are shown, so none is pickedSomebody else's forecast — not scored
What was said around it
even though lower wage jobs are being affected the most by this everybody as a whole is likely to see lower wages by them saying economic downturn is putting downward pressure on wages and even anecdotally I've seen quite a few stories of people with six-figure jobs that were furloughed and then asked to come back to work but they have to agree to a pay cut and many of those employees might be best just to go and take the same job as before but with a lower pay cut than risk being unemployed and trying to find a job alongside a lot of other people the report also suggests that the job market could take years until it returns back to normal so until that happens I have a feeling we'll start to see a higher than normal savings rate higher unemployment low inflation until things begin to normalize now the other bad news depending on how you look at it is that they found that borrowing conditions are tight for individuals with low credit ratings but credit remains available to those with strong credit profiles so here's just what that means if you're someone who already has money you have a good credit score and you don't need to borrow money then you're more likely to get credit because
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
More on Unemployment
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“rising interest rates at the same time that the labor market is cooling usually results in hiring freezes.”
Aug 10, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Unemployment will rise to 10%
“Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Unemployment — no direction stated
“and then we've also got the unemployment numbers at 4.2% expected versus 4.2 to previous okay okay”
Jun 2, 2025
Coin Bureau, relaying another source: Unemployment will fall to 4%
“it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target”
Sep 25, 2024
Coin BureauUnemploymentwill fall
“this means that unemployment could actually start falling again in the not to distant future”
Sep 25, 2024 · after 1 year
Coin BureauUnemploymentwill rise
“it looks like the decline in jobs is going to keep pushing unemployment higher and trigger a recession at least according to the S”
Aug 11, 2024 · after 1 year