Said on Jun 22, 2022, at 1:46 in the video.
“it does look like we might be heading into a recession what happens if one of their tenants goes bankrupt”No recession is dated between Jun 22, 2022 and Jun 22, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
30 days
Incorrect
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Incorrect
1 year
Incorrect
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Jul 22, 2022 | — | — |
| 90 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Sep 20, 2022 | — | — |
| 180 daysR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Dec 19, 2022 | — | — |
| 1 yearR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Jun 22, 2023 | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Incorrect | — | —Jun 21, 2025 | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-MACRO-REC v4 | Pending | — | —Jun 21, 2027 | — | — |
No recession is dated between Jun 22, 2022 and Jul 22, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Jun 22, 2022 and Sep 20, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Jun 22, 2022 and Dec 19, 2022. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Jun 22, 2022 and Jun 22, 2023. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
No recession is dated between Jun 22, 2022 and Jun 21, 2025. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
The window is still open. The result is due after Jun 21, 2027.
also with the question does market timing really work is this something we should try to participate in and luckily there's a lot of data on this subject a lot of studies that we can look at so in this episode we're also going to be addressing the question does market timing work and then finally we have a question i want to address in this episode from a commenter that says for vichy what happens when their tenants go bankrupt i think this is a good question it's a fair question to ask i'm investing in a real estate company called vichy and it does look like we might be heading into a recession what happens if one of their tenants goes bankrupt i'll be answering that question in this episode so we have a lot to jump into let's go ahead and get started with a portfolio update this is the passive income portfolio it is my own dividend growth portfolio that i show week by week with complete transparency now right now it's basically flat which is a little depressing right we're investing to make gains to make money and this portfolio is flat after investing for a couple of years and to some people that can be depressing to me i look at it in a different perspective first of all the reason
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Andrei JikhRecessionwill happen
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
Mar 16, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Recession will rise
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying JPMorgan: a call under review
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
Dec 24, 2025
Coin Bureaua call under review
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
Nov 11, 2025
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
Sep 2, 2025
Coin BureauRecessionwill fall
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
Aug 2, 2025 · after 1 year
