Said on May 1, 2024, at 16:33 in the video.
“long term it's currently anticipated the Federal Reserve may end up stabilizing rates around the 4% range which is currently only 1.25% lower than it is today”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Somebody else's forecast — not scored
went 15 months without a single change or basically at this meeting it's clear that the most likely scenario is that there's no change is being made whatsoever until inflation begins to subside which hopefully is at the end of the year and if it doesn't or conditions worsen there's always the chance of another rate hike I know it's not the ideal scenario but the Federal Reserve is going to remain data dependent and they'll do whatever it takes to bring inflation down without completely crippling the economy however long term it's currently anticipated the Federal Reserve may end up stabilizing rates around the 4% range which is currently only 1.25% lower than it is today and that's mostly boosted up by a very strong economy strong labor market and a stock market that doesn't seem to care that much that rates are this high so as far as what I have to say about everything I think it's a bit of a mess on the one hand GDP recently slowed down to a 1.6% annualized rate which was much lower than expected and that's not a surprise given how two out of three Americans are more worried about running out of money than they are dying which is absurd of course in terms of why these numbers came
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
