“long term it's currently anticipated the Federal Reserve may end up stabilizing rates around the 4% range which is currently only 1.25% lower than it is today”Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ giảm
Được nói ngày 01/05/2024, tại 16:33 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
went 15 months without a single change or basically at this meeting it's clear that the most likely scenario is that there's no change is being made whatsoever until inflation begins to subside which hopefully is at the end of the year and if it doesn't or conditions worsen there's always the chance of another rate hike I know it's not the ideal scenario but the Federal Reserve is going to remain data dependent and they'll do whatever it takes to bring inflation down without completely crippling the economy however long term it's currently anticipated the Federal Reserve may end up stabilizing rates around the 4% range which is currently only 1.25% lower than it is today and that's mostly boosted up by a very strong economy strong labor market and a stock market that doesn't seem to care that much that rates are this high so as far as what I have to say about everything I think it's a bit of a mess on the one hand GDP recently slowed down to a 1.6% annualized rate which was much lower than expected and that's not a surprise given how two out of three Americans are more worried about running out of money than they are dying which is absurd of course in terms of why these numbers came
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất chính sách Fed
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
03/09/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
17/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suất chính sách Fed— không nêu hướng
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
15/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảm
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
01/06/2026 · sau 90 ngày
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
26/05/2026
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
26/05/2026