Coin Bureau: a call under review

The window it was checked over

NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

What was said around it

GDP the Chinese economy accounts for around 177% of GDP the Japanese and German economies account for around 4% of GDP each and the Indian economy accounts for around 3% of GDP obviously this means that Global GDP is heavily dependent on the economies of these five countries as some of you have heard the US economy seems to be slowing the Chinese economy has been weak the Japanese economy is trying to to restart the German economy is essentially already in a recession and the Indian economy has likewise been slowing taken together this suggests that the world is headed for another Global recession and it looks like this one could be much more brutal than the ones before the caveat is that economic expansions don't die of old age they're murdered variations of this quote have been used by economists since the 1970s and it's something that was proven by various studies done by the Federal Reserve in the 2010s as the quote suggests economies don't just stop growing and slip into a recession there is always some bearish Catalyst that causes economies to fall into a recession to be exact there is always some pivotal event that causes individuals and institutions to materially change their

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