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Graham Stephan: House prices — no direction stated

Said on Jul 29, 2022, at 11:52 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“even though they might not increase by 5 to 10% every single year, a 2 to 4% increase will represent a much more healthier and balanced market long-term that I think frankly is much needed.”
Watch at 11:52My Response To Dave Ramsey
PredictionHouse prices— no direction statedChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 15.9% year on year in Jul 2022 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 2.0%.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

This series is not charted here until its publisher's terms for reusing it are confirmed. Each verdict still cites the figures it was judged on.

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 15.9% year on year in Jul 2022 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 2.0%.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 15.9% year on year in Jul 2022 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 2.0%.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 15.9% year on year in Jul 2022 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 2.0%.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 15.9% year on year in Jul 2022 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 2.0%.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 15.9% year on year in Jul 2022 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 2.0%.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: target already reached. House prices stood at 15.9% year on year in Jul 2022 (CSUSHPINSA, first releases), already at or above the target recorded for this call, 2.0%.

What was said around it

might do incredibly well, others could go down. So, it's impossible to give a one-sizefits-all approach without taking everything into consideration. Now, in terms of my own belief, for whatever that's worth, I fall somewhere in the middle. To me, the only logical solution for all of this is to simply allow for more building and make it easier for homeowners to add on additional units without all the red tape. But until more homes are built, most likely we're going to see a leveling off of prices. And even though they might not increase by 5 to 10% every single year, a 2 to 4% increase will represent a much more healthier and balanced market long-term that I think frankly is much needed. So, with that said, guys, thank you so much for watching. Also, feel free to add me on Instagram. Thank you so much and until next

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanHouse priceswill rise

“And that means that home prices in those markets continue going higher.”

Aug 10, 2026 · after 1 year

Pending

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“Instead the market is just quietly resetting to a much higher and much more expensive new normal and everyone who's waiting it out to see 2019 prices again is unfortunately probably out of luck”

Jul 22, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham StephanHouse prices— not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“the Northeast and Midwest are still hitting record highs, including Hartford, Connecticut, which is up 25% from its 2022 peak. Well, the pandemic boom towns across Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West keep falling.”

Jul 15, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed

Graham Stephan, relaying Reuters poll of analysts: House prices — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

“But, a Reuters poll of analysts expects prices to fall another 4% this year before maybe stabilizing in 2027.”

Jul 15, 2026

Relayed