Said on Oct 23, 2023, at 11:42 in the video.
“so anytime between June to October 2024 is when we'll feel the official effects on average of what these rate hikes are”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
NBER-based recession indicator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
FED raised our rate was in July this year assuming that CME fed watch tool I just showed you is correct in predicting that they will not raise the rate on November 1st or ever again they'll probably keep it here indefinitely until they start to lower that means we have to start counting from July this year 11 months from July this year takes us to June 2024 now if that CME fed watch tool is wrong and they will raise the rate on November 1st that will probably be the last time so we'll count from November that takes us to October 2024 so anytime between June to October 2024 is when we'll feel the official effects on average of what these rate hikes are all these things have already been put in motion and they can't be undone so we'll have to wait and see whether we'll actually have the recession 11 months from now or technically from July or October I don't know so with all of this in mind if CEOs think there's a recession if data shows there will probably be a recession and because of this High concentration we'll probably get some kind of a correction why would anyone invest right now why not just wait for this correction to happen wait for the recession and then buy the dip right
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Andrei JikhRecessionwill happen
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
Mar 16, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Recession will rise
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
Feb 27, 2026
Coin Bureau, relaying JPMorgan: a call under review
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
Dec 24, 2025
Coin Bureaua call under review
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
Nov 11, 2025
Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
Sep 2, 2025
Coin BureauRecessionwill fall
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
Aug 2, 2025 · after 1 year
