Được nói ngày 23/10/2023, tại 11:42 trong video.
“so anytime between June to October 2024 is when we'll feel the official effects on average of what these rate hikes are”Không thể xác định chắc chắn hướng của dự đoán này, nên không tính vào điểm số.
Chỉ báo suy thoái theo mốc của NBER: Ngân hàng Dự trữ Liên bang St. Louis, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Không thể xác định chắc chắn hướng của dự đoán này, nên không tính vào điểm số.
FED raised our rate was in July this year assuming that CME fed watch tool I just showed you is correct in predicting that they will not raise the rate on November 1st or ever again they'll probably keep it here indefinitely until they start to lower that means we have to start counting from July this year 11 months from July this year takes us to June 2024 now if that CME fed watch tool is wrong and they will raise the rate on November 1st that will probably be the last time so we'll count from November that takes us to October 2024 so anytime between June to October 2024 is when we'll feel the official effects on average of what these rate hikes are all these things have already been put in motion and they can't be undone so we'll have to wait and see whether we'll actually have the recession 11 months from now or technically from July or October I don't know so with all of this in mind if CEOs think there's a recession if data shows there will probably be a recession and because of this High concentration we'll probably get some kind of a correction why would anyone invest right now why not just wait for this correction to happen wait for the recession and then buy the dip right
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
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