Why: 30 days
No recession is dated between Oct 29, 2018 and Nov 28, 2018. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
Why: 90 days
No recession is dated between Oct 29, 2018 and Jan 27, 2019. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
Why: 180 days
No recession is dated between Oct 29, 2018 and Apr 27, 2019. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
Why: 1 year
No recession is dated between Oct 29, 2018 and Oct 29, 2019. More than 15 months have passed since the window closed, so the period is settled.
Why: 3 years
The National Bureau of Economic Research dates a recession inside the window (June 2020, July 2020, August 2020). The call was that a recession would occur between Oct 29, 2018 and Oct 28, 2021.
Why: 5 years
The National Bureau of Economic Research dates a recession inside the window (June 2020, July 2020, August 2020). The call was that a recession would occur between Oct 29, 2018 and Oct 28, 2023.