Said on Aug 6, 2024, at 8:36 in the video.
“as of now some economists are calling for the Federal Reserve to make an emergency rate cut to help soften the blow others say the Federal Reserve is too late for rate Cuts since they should have started sooner and as of today the market is pricing in the strong likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut as soon as this September”Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
Somebody else's forecast — not scored
shortly before it was announced that Google violated antitrust laws by paying to have their search the default on Apple products which made up 36% of their revenue all of this means that Warren Buffett raised a substantial amount of cash before anything like this occurred essentially at the peak of the Market which great move although in terms of what this means for the future here's where things get very interesting with rate Cuts as of now some economists are calling for the Federal Reserve to make an emergency rate cut to help soften the blow others say the Federal Reserve is too late for rate Cuts since they should have started sooner and as of today the market is pricing in the strong likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut as soon as this September now if you think oh great the Federal Reserve is going to lower interest rates and then the stock market is going to go up keep in mind in mind that since 1990 every single time the Federal Reserve has lowered rates the stock market has declined why am I wonder well historically the Federal Reserve has not lowered interest rates unless they absolutely have to it's not like they look at the stock market and say ooh the stock market's
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
Sep 3, 2026
Graham Stephan, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
Jun 17, 2026
Andrei JikhFed policy rate— no direction stated
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
Jun 15, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanFed policy ratewill fall
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 90 days
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
May 26, 2026
Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Fed policy rate will rise
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
May 26, 2026
