Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ giảm

Được nói ngày 06/08/2024, tại 8:36 trong video.

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Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“as of now some economists are calling for the Federal Reserve to make an emergency rate cut to help soften the blow others say the Federal Reserve is too late for rate Cuts since they should have started sooner and as of today the market is pricing in the strong likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut as soon as this September”
Xem tại 8:36It Started: Japan Just Broke The US Stock Market
Dự đoánLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảmhạn 04/11/2024
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Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Lãi suất chính sách FedKhung kiểm chứngSuy thoái (NBER)
−2%0%2%4%6%202120222023202420252025Nói ngày 06/08/2024
−2%0%2%4%6%2021202320242025Nói ngày 06/08/2024

Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

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shortly before it was announced that Google violated antitrust laws by paying to have their search the default on Apple products which made up 36% of their revenue all of this means that Warren Buffett raised a substantial amount of cash before anything like this occurred essentially at the peak of the Market which great move although in terms of what this means for the future here's where things get very interesting with rate Cuts as of now some economists are calling for the Federal Reserve to make an emergency rate cut to help soften the blow others say the Federal Reserve is too late for rate Cuts since they should have started sooner and as of today the market is pricing in the strong likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut as soon as this September now if you think oh great the Federal Reserve is going to lower interest rates and then the stock market is going to go up keep in mind in mind that since 1990 every single time the Federal Reserve has lowered rates the stock market has declined why am I wonder well historically the Federal Reserve has not lowered interest rates unless they absolutely have to it's not like they look at the stock market and say ooh the stock market's

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Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng

“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”

03/09/2026

Dẫn lời

Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng

“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”

17/06/2026

Dẫn lời

Andrei JikhLãi suất chính sách Fed— không nêu hướng

“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”

15/06/2026 · sau 1 năm

Không kiểm chứng được

Graham StephanLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảm

“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”

01/06/2026 · sau 90 ngày

Sai tới lúc này · 90 ngày

Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng

“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”

26/05/2026

Dẫn lời

Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng

“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”

26/05/2026

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